24 April 2026 at 17:00
Serie B · Italy · Season 2025Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Monza dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2
Average goals per game
50%
Games with 3+ goals
50%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (56%) — the odds may underestimate Monza.
Market Summary
Margin: 7.2%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.68 | 3.75 | 4.75 |
| Max | 1.68 | 3.75 | 4.75 |
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Monza
Away Record: Modena
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Monza defeated Modena 1:0. The match was played in Serie B 2025. Goals were scored by S. Birindelli 27′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Monza had 41% possession while Modena held 59%. Monza had 10 shots (4 on target) compared to 15 (5 on target) for Modena. Expected goals: Monza 0.58 — Modena 0.92. Monza made 3 substitutions, Modena made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Monza and Modena — 1 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.
Match Statistics
Monza had 41% possession against Modena's 59%. Monza registered 10 shots (4 on target) while Modena managed 15 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 5–4. Fouls committed: 8–20.
Lineups
Monza lined up in a 3-4-2-1 formation under Paolo Bianco, while Modena deployed a 3-5-2 under Andrea Sottil.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Monza is 6.94, compared to 6.88 for Modena. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Monza's highest-rated starter is L. Ravanelli (7.23), while Modena's best-rated player is D. Tonoli (7.20).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Monza have contributed 29 goals and 16 assists this season, led by A. Petagna (8G). Modena's starters account for 16 goals and 8 assists, spearheaded by D. Tonoli (5G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Monza deploy 3 defenders rated 7.01 on average, against Modena's 3-man backline averaging 7.09. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Monza field 4 midfielders averaging 6.94, versus Modena's 5 rated 6.76. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Monza start 3 forward(s) averaging 6.83, compared to 2 for Modena averaging 6.73. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 81% for Monza and 77% for Modena. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Monza's starters have collected 29 yellow cards this season, compared to 31 for Modena. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Monza's starting XI is 26.7 (youngest: A. Bakoune (19), oldest: P. Obiang (33)), while Modena average 23.0 (youngest: S. Wiafe (17), oldest: F. Gerli (29)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Monza's starters average 26 league appearances each, versus 19 for Modena. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: Paolo Bianco
Substitutes
Coach: Andrea Sottil
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Monza have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats. Modena show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
Monza
Modena
Monza vs Modena Head to Head Results
Monza and Modena have met 1 times — Monza won 1, Modena won 0, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. Monza leads the head-to-head with 1 victories from 1 meetings. A combined 3 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.00 per match (2 for the home side, 1 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 matches (100%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 games (100%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–2 in 2025.
1
Monza
0
Drawn
0
Modena
Recent Meetings (1)
API data: 28 Apr 2026