Serie B · Season 2016
Match Events
assist: M. Calderoni
assist: J. Petriccione
assist: G. Di Noia
assist: M. Contini
assist: D. Zanon
assist: A. Galabinov
Match Statistics
Lineups
Defensive Solidity
Ternana deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Novara's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Ternana field 4 midfielders averaging —, versus Novara's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Ternana start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Novara averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Substitutes
Coach: B. Carbone
Substitutes
Coach: R. Boscaglia
Match Summary
Ternana defeated Novara 4:3. The match was played in Serie B 2016. Goals were scored by F. Casarini 2′, G. Di Noia 15′, F. Avenatti 22′, G. Di Noia 28′, K. Adorján 31′, F. Avenatti 66′, T. Kupisz 71′. 6 yellow cards were shown. Ternana had 55% possession while Novara held 45%. Ternana had 12 shots (7 on target) compared to 18 (7 on target) for Novara. Ternana made 3 substitutions, Novara made 3.
Ternana vs Novara Head to Head Results
3 stretnutíRecent Meetings
Recent Form
Ternana
Novara
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Ternana dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.2
Average goals per game
60%
Games with 3+ goals
70%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (30%) — the odds may underestimate Ternana.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.7%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.88 | 2.88 | 2.50 |
| Max | 3.21 | 3.02 | 2.62 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 30.4% | 32.3% | 37.3% |
| Public market | 31.3% | 32.6% | 36.1% |
| Δ | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.2% |
Ternana vs Novara — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/1717/18 | Ternana | 1–1 | Novara | 2.35/3.09/3.20 |
| 14/04/1817/18 | Novara | 0–3 | Ternana | 2.01/3.19/4.03 |
| 29/10/1616/17 | Ternana | 4–3 | Novara | 3.03/2.97/2.57 |
| 01/04/1716/17 | Novara | 1–2 | Ternana | 1.73/3.46/5.37 |
| 03/10/1515/16 | Ternana | 2–0 | Novara | 2.46/3.03/3.11 |
| 20/02/1615/16 | Novara | 1–2 | Ternana | 1.90/3.07/4.86 |
| 19/10/1313/14 | Ternana | 5–0 | Novara | 2.59/3.02/2.92 |
| 25/03/1413/14 | Novara | 1–1 | Ternana | 2.40/2.80/3.35 |
| 29/09/1212/13 | Novara | 1–2 | Ternana | 1.78/3.35/4.99 |
| 26/02/1312/13 | Ternana | 1–1 | Novara | 2.70/2.93/2.88 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Ternana
Away Record: Novara
Data: football-data.co.uk
API data: 11 May 2026