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Lecce vs Palermo

Full Time

Serie B · Season 2018

Via del Mare, Lecce21 October 2018 at 20:00
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Lecce

12
Referee: Manuel Volpi

Match Events

Lecce
Palermo
Kick Off
29′
I. Nestorovski

assist: S. Moreo

A. Tabanelli
37′
Half Time
51′Antonio Mazzotta
52′Mato Jajalo
64′
A. MazzottaH. Aleesami
71′
S. MoreoA. Trajkovski
82′
A. RispoliG. Puşcaş
M. MancosuT. Haye
84′
A. La MantiaS. Pettinari
84′
85′
G. Puşcaş

assist: A. Trajkovski

87′Ilija Nestorovski
89′Alberto Brignoli
M. ScavoneE. Dubickas
90′
Full Time

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal4
7Shots off Goal8
13Total Shots12
0Blocked Shots0
0Shots insidebox0
0Shots outsidebox0
16Fouls23
6Corner Kicks3
3Offsides2
48%Ball Possession52%
1Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves5
0Total passes0
0Passes accurate0
0Passes %0

Lineups

Defensive Solidity

Lecce deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Palermo's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Lecce field 4 midfielders averaging —, versus Palermo's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Lecce start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Palermo averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Lecce4-3-34-3-3Palermo
GKDEFMIDFWD
22Vigorito27Caldero.15Marino16Meccari.24Venuti8Mancosu30Scavone23Tabanel.4Petricc.19Mantia14Palombi1Brignoli5Rajković2Bellusci3Rispoli27Mazzotta6Struna8Jajalo20Falletti35Murawski30Nestoro.9Moreo

Substitutes

Coach: F. Liverani

Substitutes

Coach: R. Stellone

LeccePosition StrengthPalermo
Lecce4-3-3
22GoalkeeperM. Vigorito
27DefenderM. Calderoni
15DefenderA. Marino
16DefenderB. Meccariello
24DefenderL. Venuti
8MidfielderM. Mancosu
30MidfielderM. Scavone
23MidfielderA. Tabanelli
4MidfielderJ. Petriccione
19ForwardA. La Mantia
14ForwardS. Palombi
Palermo4-3-3
1GoalkeeperA. Brignoli
5DefenderS. Rajković
2DefenderG. Bellusci
27DefenderA. Mazzotta
6DefenderAljaž Struna
3MidfielderA. Rispoli
8MidfielderM. Jajalo
20MidfielderC. Falletti
35MidfielderR. Murawski
30ForwardI. Nestorovski
9ForwardS. Moreo

Match Summary

Palermo defeated Lecce 2:1. The match was played in Serie B 2018. Goals were scored by I. Nestorovski 29′, A. Tabanelli 37′, G. Puşcaş 85′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Lecce had 48% possession while Palermo held 52%. Lecce had 13 shots (6 on target) compared to 12 (4 on target) for Palermo. Lecce made 3 substitutions, Palermo made 3.

Rivalry since 2010

Lecce vs Palermo Head to Head Results

5 stretnutí
Lecce
0
wins
Drawn
2
Palermo
3
wins
Total goals
17 · 3.4/match
Both scored
4/5 · 80%
Over 2.5
3/5 · 60%

Recent Form

Lecce

WDDLLL

Palermo

WDWDWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Palermo dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Lecce0wins
0draws2 meetings
Palermo2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

100%

Games with 3+ goals

100%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (36%) — the odds may underestimate Palermo.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 38.7%Draw 34.6%Away 32.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.452.883.00
Max2.712.903.20
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market35.6%33.4%31.0%
Public market38.3%32.4%29.3%
Δ2.7%1.0%1.7%

Lecce vs Palermo — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Palermo
Result vs. Market: Lecce (39%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

LecceHalf-time:11Palermo
11Shots11
4Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
02/03/19Palermo2–1Lecce2.21/3.13/3.54
21/10/18Lecce1–2Palermo2.59/2.89/3.10

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Lecce

W 147D 101L 66
Over 2.550
Goals scored478

Away Record: Palermo

W 168D 134L 91
Over 2.547
Goals scored568

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026