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Spal vs Brescia

Full Time

Serie B · Season 2020

Stadio Paolo Mazza, Ferrara30 December 2020 at 17:00
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Spal

23
Referee: F. Dionisi

Match Events

Spal
Brescia
Kick Off
-5′Andrea Ghezzi
M. Valoti

assist: L. Dickmann

7′
N. TomovićB. Salamon
44′
Half Time
Francesco Vicari48′
56′
F. Jagiełło

assist: E. Torregrossa

M. Valoti

assist: L. Castro

57′
61′Jakub Labojko
L. CastroF. Di Francesco
66′
A. PaloschiS. Floccari
66′
66′
J. ŁabojkoD. Bisoli
66′
A. RagusaA. Donnarumma
70′
A. Donnarumma

Penalty

76′
F. JagiełłoB. Bjarnason
76′
N. ŠpalekM. Mangraviti
A. MurgiaE. Brignola
79′
M. ValotiS. Missiroli
79′
84′
E. TorregrossaF. Ayé
87′
B. Bjarnason

assist: F. Ayé

Luca Ranieri90′
Full Time

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal8
4Shots off Goal5
15Total Shots16
5Blocked Shots3
7Shots insidebox10
8Shots outsidebox6
11Fouls15
5Corner Kicks5
0Offsides1
59%Ball Possession41%
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
5Goalkeeper Saves4
558Total passes377
480Passes accurate306
86%Passes %81%

Lineups

Defensive Solidity

Spal deploy 3 defenders rated — on average, against Brescia's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Spal field 4 midfielders averaging —, versus Brescia's 3 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Spal start 3 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 3 for Brescia averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Age & Experience

The average age of Spal's starting XI is 27.0 (youngest: D. Thiam (27), oldest: D. Thiam (27)), while Brescia average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Spal3-4-2-14-3-3Brescia
GKDEFMIDFWD
22Thiam4Tomović23Vicari3Ranieri19Castro8Valoti41Dickmann11Murgia32Sala6Esposito9Paloschi1Joronen26Martella4Chancel.2Sabelli3Matějů7Špalek24Jagiełło5Looi21Łabojko23Ragusa11Torregr.

Substitutes

Coach: P. Marino

Substitutes

Coach: D. Dionigi

SpalPosition StrengthBrescia
Spal3-4-2-1
22GoalkeeperD. Thiam
4DefenderN. Tomović
23DefenderF. Vicari
3DefenderL. Ranieri
41MidfielderL. Dickmann
11MidfielderA. Murgia
32MidfielderM. Sala
6MidfielderSalvatore Esposito
19ForwardL. Castro
8ForwardM. Valoti
9ForwardA. Paloschi
Brescia4-3-3
1GoalkeeperJ. Joronen
26DefenderB. Martella
4DefenderJ. Chancellor
2DefenderS. Sabelli
3DefenderA. Matějů
24MidfielderF. Jagiełło
5MidfielderT. van de Looi
21MidfielderJ. Łabojko
7ForwardN. Špalek
23ForwardA. Ragusa
11ForwardE. Torregrossa

Match Summary

Brescia defeated Spal 3:2. The match was played in Serie B 2020. Goals were scored by M. Valoti 7′, F. Jagiełło 56′, M. Valoti 57′, A. Donnarumma 70′ (pen.), B. Bjarnason 87′. 3 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Spal had 59% possession while Brescia held 41%. Spal had 15 shots (6 on target) compared to 16 (8 on target) for Brescia. Spal made 5 substitutions, Brescia made 5.

Rivalry since 2016

Spal vs Brescia Head to Head Results

9 stretnutí
Spal
2
wins
Drawn
2
Brescia
5
wins
Total goals
27 · 3.0/match
Both scored
6/9 · 67%
Over 2.5
5/9 · 56%

Recent Form

Spal

WLWDDD

Brescia

D

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Spal2wins
2draws8 meetings
Brescia4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.5

Average goals per game

63%

Games with 3+ goals

75%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (25%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (47%) — the odds may underestimate Brescia.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 49.0%Draw 30.4%Away 25.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.003.203.75
Max2.073.384.02
Over 2.5: 48.8%Under 2.5: 57.1%
Market favourite:Spal · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market47.0%28.8%24.2%
Public market46.7%28.3%24.9%

Spal vs Brescia — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Brescia
Result vs. Market: Spal (49%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

SpalHalf-time:10Brescia
13Shots14
6Shots on target8

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
15/04/23Spal2–2Brescia2.50/3.13/3.13
27/11/22Brescia2–0Spal1.89/3.34/4.18
25/04/22Brescia1–1Spal1.66/3.58/5.42
11/12/21Spal0–2Brescia2.74/3.33/2.54
01/05/21Brescia3–1Spal2.52/3.01/3.13
30/12/20Spal2–3Brescia2.04/3.29/3.89
12/11/16Spal3–2Brescia1.79/3.42/4.83
09/04/17Brescia1–3Spal3.60/3.23/2.14

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Spal

W 53D 55L 48
Over 2.544
Goals scored197

Away Record: Brescia

W 296D 270L 240
Over 2.545
Goals scored1044

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026