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Spal vs Ascoli

Full Time

Serie B · Season 2020

Stadio Paolo Mazza, Ferrara16 April 2021 at 20:00
Home

Spal

12
Away

Ascoli

Referee: P. Giacomelli

Match Events

Spal
Ascoli
Kick Off
Nenad Tomović14′
M. Valoti

assist: S. Floccari

26′
42′
A. Sabiri

assist: T. D'Orazio

45′Marcel Büchel
Half Time
M. ValotiGabriel Espeto
46′
F. VivianiA. Murgia
46′
53′
R. Bajić

assist: T. D'Orazio

62′
A. AvlonitisD. Quaranta
70′
R. BajićS. Bidaoui
70′
M. BüchelA. Danzi
F. Di FrancescoL. Moro
71′
J. SegreM. Sala
71′
80′
D. ŠarićM. Eramo
L. DickmannRaúl Asencio
83′
90′Federico Dionisi
90′Danilo Quaranta
Full Time

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal6
4Shots off Goal5
14Total Shots14
6Blocked Shots3
11Shots insidebox7
3Shots outsidebox7
17Fouls17
5Corner Kicks1
3Offsides1
62%Ball Possession38%
1Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves3
544Total passes319
438Passes accurate231
81%Passes %72%

Lineups

Defensive Solidity

Spal deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Ascoli's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Spal field 4 midfielders averaging —, versus Ascoli's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Spal start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Ascoli averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Spal4-3-1-24-3-1-2Ascoli
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Berisha4Tomović3Ranieri20Okoli7Missiro.8Valoti77Viviani41Dickmann5Segre10Floccari14Frances.1Leali24Avlonit.23Brosco2Pucino3D'Orazio77Büchel30Šarić32Caligara21Sabiri9Dionisi99Bajić

Substitutes

Coach: M. Rastelli

Substitutes

Coach: A. Sottil

SpalPosition StrengthAscoli
Spal4-3-1-2
1GoalkeeperE. Berisha
4DefenderN. Tomović
3DefenderL. Ranieri
20DefenderM. Okoli
41DefenderL. Dickmann
7MidfielderS. Missiroli
8MidfielderM. Valoti
77MidfielderF. Viviani
5MidfielderJ. Segre
10ForwardS. Floccari
14ForwardF. Di Francesco
Ascoli4-3-1-2
1GoalkeeperN. Leali
24DefenderA. Avlonitis
23DefenderR. Brosco
2DefenderR. Pucino
3DefenderT. D'Orazio
77MidfielderM. Büchel
30MidfielderD. Šarić
32MidfielderF. Caligara
21MidfielderA. Sabiri
9ForwardF. Dionisi
99ForwardR. Bajić

Match Summary

Ascoli defeated Spal 2:1. The match was played in Serie B 2020. Goals were scored by M. Valoti 26′, A. Sabiri 42′, R. Bajić 53′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Spal had 62% possession while Ascoli held 38%. Spal had 14 shots (4 on target) compared to 14 (6 on target) for Ascoli. Spal made 5 substitutions, Ascoli made 4.

Rivalry since 2016

Spal vs Ascoli Head to Head Results

9 stretnutí
Spal
1
wins
Drawn
6
Ascoli
2
wins
Total goals
20 · 2.2/match
Both scored
7/9 · 78%
Over 2.5
2/9 · 22%

Recent Form

Spal

WLWDDD

Ascoli

LWWWWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Spal1wins
4draws8 meetings
Ascoli3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.1

Average goals per game

25%

Games with 3+ goals

75%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (42%) — the odds may underestimate Ascoli.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 45.2%Draw 33.2%Away 26.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.103.003.60
Max2.333.034.00
Over 2.5: 44.4%Under 2.5: 62.1%
Market favourite:Spal · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market41.8%32.1%26.1%
Public market42.7%31.3%26.1%

Spal vs Ascoli — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Ascoli
Result vs. Market: Spal (45%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

SpalHalf-time:11Ascoli
14Shots14
4Shots on target6

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
21/01/23Spal1–1Ascoli2.75/2.97/2.79
20/08/22Ascoli1–1Spal2.04/3.37/3.71
12/03/22Spal1–2Ascoli2.54/3.21/2.76
28/10/21Ascoli0–1Spal2.74/3.16/2.70
16/04/21Spal1–2Ascoli2.21/3.01/3.78
27/12/20Ascoli2–0Spal4.24/3.39/1.90
10/09/16Ascoli1–1Spal2.47/3.02/3.13
04/02/17Spal1–1Ascoli1.62/3.63/5.99

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Spal

W 53D 55L 48
Over 2.544
Goals scored197

Away Record: Ascoli

W 237D 212L 281
Over 2.545
Goals scored834

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026