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Ternana vs Ascoli

Full Time

Serie B · Season 2022

Stadio Libero Liberati, Terni15 January 2023 at 15:15
10
Away

Ascoli

Referee: M. Irrati

Match Events

Ternana
Ascoli
Kick Off
Frederik Sørensen20′
A. Palumbo

assist: A. Favilli

27′
Half Time
46′
M. EramoS. Giovane
54′Samuel Giovane
60′Lorenco Šimić
Valerio Mantovani62′
65′
F. CaligaraC. Lungoyi
Andrea Favilli70′
Francesco Di Tacchio73′
76′
L. ŠimićA. Re
80′Alessio Re
81′
C. GondoPedro Mendes
D. AgazziM. Coulibaly
82′
A. PartipiloS. Pettinari
82′
Niccolò Corrado86′
A. PalumboF. Paghera
89′
90+1′Claud Adjapong
Full Time

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal9
12Total Shots21
3Blocked Shots9
8Shots insidebox10
4Shots outsidebox11
15Fouls15
1Corner Kicks10
4Offsides0
43%Ball Possession57%
5Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves1
292Total passes382
213Passes accurate279
73%Passes %73%

Lineups

Defensive Solidity

Ternana deploy 3 defenders rated — on average, against Ascoli's 3-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Ternana field 5 midfielders averaging —, versus Ascoli's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Ternana start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Ascoli averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Ternana3-5-23-5-2Ascoli
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Iannari.23Diakité4Sørensen13Mantova.24Ghiring.34Agazzi5Palumbo14Tacchio91Corrado21Partipi.17Favilli1Leali4Šimić33Bottegh.5Quaranta17Adjapong18Colloco.27Eramo8Caligara54Falasco15Gondo9Dionisi

Substitutes

Coach: A. Andreazzoli

Substitutes

Coach: C. Bucchi

TernanaPosition StrengthAscoli
Ternana3-5-2
1GoalkeeperA. Iannarilli
23DefenderS. Diakité
4DefenderF. Sørensen
13DefenderV. Mantovani
24MidfielderL. Ghiringhelli
34MidfielderD. Agazzi
5MidfielderA. Palumbo
14MidfielderF. Di Tacchio
91MidfielderN. Corrado
21ForwardA. Partipilo
17ForwardA. Favilli
Ascoli3-5-2
1GoalkeeperN. Leali
4DefenderL. Šimić
33DefenderEric Botteghin
5DefenderD. Quaranta
17MidfielderC. Adjapong
18MidfielderM. Collocolo
27MidfielderM. Eramo
8MidfielderF. Caligara
54MidfielderN. Falasco
15ForwardC. Gondo
9ForwardF. Dionisi

Match Summary

Ternana defeated Ascoli 1:0. The match was played in Serie B 2022. Goals were scored by A. Palumbo 27′. 9 yellow cards were shown. Ternana had 43% possession while Ascoli held 57%. Ternana had 12 shots (2 on target) compared to 21 (3 on target) for Ascoli. Ternana made 3 substitutions, Ascoli made 4.

Rivalry since 2016

Ternana vs Ascoli Head to Head Results

13 stretnutí
Ternana
3
wins
Drawn
1
Ascoli
9
wins
Total goals
36 · 2.8/match
Both scored
7/13 · 54%
Over 2.5
7/13 · 54%

Recent Form

Ternana

DLWDLD

Ascoli

LWWWWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Ascoli dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Ternana2wins
1draws10 meetings
Ascoli7wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (43%) — the odds may underestimate Ascoli.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 45.2%Draw 30.4%Away 29.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.203.203.30
Max2.243.413.47
Over 2.5: 48.8%Under 2.5: 55.6%
Market favourite:Ternana · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market43.4%28.5%28.0%
Public market42.7%28.9%28.4%

Ternana vs Ascoli — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Ternana
Result vs. Market: Ternana (45%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

TernanaHalf-time:10Ascoli
12Shots21
2Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
27/04/24Ternana0–1Ascoli2.54/3.19/2.87
26/09/23Ascoli2–0Ternana2.33/3.14/3.16
15/01/23Ternana1–0Ascoli2.21/3.29/3.36
14/08/22Ascoli2–1Ternana2.08/3.29/3.56
06/05/22Ascoli4–1Ternana1.74/3.81/4.46
14/01/22Ternana2–4Ascoli1.85/3.52/4.30
21/10/17Ternana1–1Ascoli2.07/3.31/3.71
17/03/18Ascoli2–1Ternana2.35/3.03/3.31
30/12/16Ternana0–1Ascoli2.38/3.14/3.16
18/05/17Ascoli1–2Ternana5.40/3.85/1.62

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Ternana

W 208D 231L 247
Over 2.544
Goals scored804

Away Record: Ascoli

W 237D 212L 281
Over 2.545
Goals scored834

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026