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Modena vs Ascoli

Full Time

Serie B · Season 2022

Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena1 March 2023 at 19:30
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Modena

01
Away

Ascoli

Referee: M. Gariglio

Match Events

Modena
Ascoli
Kick Off
27′Cedric Gondo
45+4′Marcel Büchel
Half Time
D. FalcinelliL. Tremolada
56′
R. GiovanniniL. Strizzolo
56′
61′
M. BüchelS. Giovane
61′
C. GondoPedro Mendes
70′
D. MarsuraF. Dionisi
A. PoliM. Armellino
72′
75′
Pedro Mendes

assist: S. Giovane

F. RenzettiE. Duca
82′
F. GerliN. Mosti
82′
87′
M. FalzeranoM. Eramo
Tommaso Silvestri90+5′
Full Time

Match Statistics

1Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal4
11Total Shots13
4Blocked Shots4
5Shots insidebox7
6Shots outsidebox6
14Fouls19
5Corner Kicks7
1Offsides3
54%Ball Possession46%
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves1
386Total passes342
276Passes accurate228
72%Passes %67%
0expected_goals0

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Modena is 6.80, compared to — for Ascoli. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Modena's highest-rated starter is F. Gerli (6.98), while Ascoli's best-rated player is —.

Defensive Solidity

Modena deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Ascoli's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Modena field 4 midfielders averaging 6.80, versus Ascoli's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Modena start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Ascoli averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 85% for Modena and —% for Ascoli. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Modena's starters have collected 8 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Ascoli. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Modena's starting XI is 31.3 (youngest: L. Magnino (28), oldest: A. Pergreffi (37)), while Ascoli average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Modena's starters average 16 league appearances each, versus 0 for Ascoli. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Modena4-3-1-24-3-1-2Ascoli
GKDEFMIDFWD
26Gagno96Oukhadda15Silvest.4Pergref.33Renzetti24Poli16Gerli6Magnino19Giovann.11Falcine.9Bonfanti1Leali20Donati4Šimić33Bottegh.54Falasco18Colloco.77Büchel8Caligara23Falzera.14Marsura15Gondo

Substitutes

Coach: A. Tesser

Substitutes

Coach: R. Breda

ModenaPosition StrengthAscoli
6.80
Avg Rating
6.80Midfielder (4 v 4)
0G 3A0G 0A
Modena4-3-1-2
26GoalkeeperR. Gagno
96DefenderS. Oukhadda
15DefenderT. Silvestri
4DefenderA. Pergreffi
33DefenderF. Renzetti
24MidfielderA. Poli
16MidfielderF. Gerli7.0
6MidfielderL. Magnino6.63A
19MidfielderR. Giovannini
11ForwardD. Falcinelli
9ForwardN. Bonfanti
Ascoli4-3-1-2
1GoalkeeperN. Leali
20DefenderF. Donati
4DefenderL. Šimić
33DefenderEric Botteghin
54DefenderN. Falasco
18MidfielderM. Collocolo
77MidfielderM. Büchel
8MidfielderF. Caligara
23MidfielderM. Falzerano
14ForwardD. Marsura
15ForwardC. Gondo

Match Summary

Ascoli defeated Modena 1:0. The match was played in Serie B 2022. Goals were scored by Pedro Mendes 75′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Modena had 54% possession while Ascoli held 46%. Modena had 11 shots (1 on target) compared to 13 (5 on target) for Ascoli. Modena made 5 substitutions, Ascoli made 4.

Rivalry since 2022

Modena vs Ascoli Head to Head Results

3 stretnutí
Modena
2
wins
Drawn
1
Ascoli
0
wins
Total goals
4 · 1.3/match
Both scored
1/3 · 33%
Over 2.5
1/3 · 33%

Recent Form

Modena

WLLDDL

Ascoli

LWWWWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Modena dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Modena6wins
2draws10 meetings
Ascoli2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.1

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (46%) — the odds may underestimate Modena.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 48.7%Draw 30.1%Away 25.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.003.253.80
Max2.113.404.04
Over 2.5: 44.4%Under 2.5: 61.7%
Market favourite:Modena · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market46.1%29.9%24.1%
Public market47.3%27.8%24.9%
Δ1.2%2.1%0.8%

Modena vs Ascoli — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Ascoli
Result vs. Market: Modena (49%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ModenaHalf-time:00Ascoli
11Shots13
1Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
20/04/24Ascoli0–0Modena2.88/2.96/2.68
26/08/23Modena1–0Ascoli1.93/3.27/4.55
01/03/23Modena0–1Ascoli2.05/3.33/3.92
08/10/22Ascoli1–2Modena2.16/3.22/3.52
17/10/15Modena2–1Ascoli1.98/3.20/4.17
01/03/16Ascoli2–1Modena2.59/3.01/2.96
31/03/12Modena2–0Ascoli2.19/2.98/3.42
28/10/11Ascoli0–1Modena2.31/2.97/3.23
17/11/12Modena1–1Ascoli1.70/3.48/5.42
13/04/13Ascoli2–3Modena2.55/2.99/2.97

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Modena

W 226D 235L 232
Over 2.542
Goals scored824

Away Record: Ascoli

W 237D 212L 281
Over 2.545
Goals scored834

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026