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Modena vs Ascoli

Full Time

Serie B · Season 2023

Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena26 August 2023 at 19:30
Home

Modena

10
Away

Ascoli

Referee: S. Sozza

Match Events

Modena
Ascoli
Kick Off
Matteo Cotali21′
45+1′Erdis Kraja
Half Time
N. BonfantiL. Strizzolo
56′
L. Strizzolo

assist: J. Manconi

59′
61′
V. MillicoM. Falzerano
61′
E. KrajaG. Manzari
J. ManconiD. Falcinelli
67′
L. TremoladaM. Gargiulo
68′
79′
Pablo RodríguezF. Dionisi
79′
F. CaligaraE. Gnahoré
85′
P. MasiniS. D'Uffizi
90+7′Danilo Quaranta
M. CotaliE. Duca
90′
A. PalumboF. Ponsi
90′
Full Time

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal3
13Total Shots8
2Blocked Shots0
5Shots insidebox5
8Shots outsidebox3
12Fouls19
9Corner Kicks1
1Offsides0
55%Ball Possession45%
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
5Goalkeeper Saves2
483Total passes391
388Passes accurate304
80%Passes %78%
0expected_goals0

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Modena is 6.81, compared to — for Ascoli. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Modena's highest-rated starter is F. Gerli (6.98), while Ascoli's best-rated player is —.

Defensive Solidity

Modena deploy 4 defenders rated 6.82 on average, against Ascoli's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Modena field 4 midfielders averaging 6.80, versus Ascoli's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Modena start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Ascoli averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 86% for Modena and —% for Ascoli. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Modena's starters have collected 10 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Ascoli. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Modena's starting XI is 30.5 (youngest: M. Cotali (28), oldest: A. Pergreffi (37)), while Ascoli average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Modena's starters average 16 league appearances each, versus 0 for Ascoli. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Modena4-3-1-24-3-2-1Ascoli
GKDEFMIDFWD
26Gagno99Oukhadda19Zaro4Pergref.29Cotali6Magnino16Gerli5Palumbo10Tremola.9Bonfanti17Manconi2Viviano17Adjapong33Bottegh.14Quaranta8Giovane10Caligara6Kraja73Masini99Rodrígu.7Millico90Mendes

Substitutes

Coach: P. Bianco

Substitutes

Coach: W. Viali

ModenaPosition StrengthAscoli
6.81
Avg Rating
6.82Defender (4 v 4)
0G 2A0G 0A
6.80Midfielder (4 v 5)
0G 3A0G 0A
Modena4-3-1-2
26GoalkeeperR. Gagno
99DefenderS. Oukhadda
19DefenderG. Zaro
4DefenderA. Pergreffi
29DefenderM. Cotali6.82A
6MidfielderL. Magnino6.63A
16MidfielderF. Gerli7.0
5MidfielderA. Palumbo
10MidfielderL. Tremolada
9ForwardN. Bonfanti
17ForwardJ. Manconi
Ascoli4-3-2-1
2GoalkeeperE. Viviano
17DefenderC. Adjapong
33DefenderEric Botteghin
14DefenderD. Quaranta
8DefenderS. Giovane
10MidfielderF. Caligara
6MidfielderE. Kraja
73MidfielderP. Masini
99MidfielderPablo Rodríguez
7MidfielderV. Millico
90ForwardPedro Mendes

Match Summary

Modena defeated Ascoli 1:0. The match was played in Serie B 2023. Goals were scored by L. Strizzolo 59′. 2 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Modena had 55% possession while Ascoli held 45%. Modena had 13 shots (3 on target) compared to 8 (5 on target) for Ascoli. Modena made 5 substitutions, Ascoli made 5.

Rivalry since 2022

Modena vs Ascoli Head to Head Results

3 stretnutí
Modena
1
wins
Drawn
1
Ascoli
1
wins
Total goals
4 · 1.3/match
Both scored
1/3 · 33%
Over 2.5
1/3 · 33%

Recent Form

Modena

WLLDDL

Ascoli

LWWWWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Modena dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Modena6wins
2draws10 meetings
Ascoli2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.1

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Market Summary

Margin: 4.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 51.8%Draw 30.5%Away 22.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.913.254.33
Max1.953.304.78
Over 2.5: 45.5%Under 2.5: 60.6%
Market favourite:Modena · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market49.8%29.9%20.3%
Public market49.5%28.7%21.8%
Δ0.3%1.2%1.5%

Modena vs Ascoli — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Modena
Result vs. Market: Modena (52%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ModenaHalf-time:00Ascoli
13Shots8
3Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
20/04/24Ascoli0–0Modena2.88/2.96/2.68
26/08/23Modena1–0Ascoli1.93/3.27/4.55
01/03/23Modena0–1Ascoli2.05/3.33/3.92
08/10/22Ascoli1–2Modena2.16/3.22/3.52
17/10/15Modena2–1Ascoli1.98/3.20/4.17
01/03/16Ascoli2–1Modena2.59/3.01/2.96
31/03/12Modena2–0Ascoli2.19/2.98/3.42
28/10/11Ascoli0–1Modena2.31/2.97/3.23
17/11/12Modena1–1Ascoli1.70/3.48/5.42
13/04/13Ascoli2–3Modena2.55/2.99/2.97

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Modena

W 226D 235L 232
Over 2.542
Goals scored824

Away Record: Ascoli

W 237D 212L 281
Over 2.545
Goals scored834

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026