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Ternana vs Cittadella

Full Time

Serie B · Season 2023

Stadio Libero Liberati, Terni20 January 2024 at 13:00
31
Referee: M. Monaldi

Match Events

Ternana
Cittadella
Kick Off
Franco Carboni9′
F. Carboni

assist: G. Pereiro

22′
27′Lorenzo Carissoni
40′
L. Pandolfi

assist: F. Pittarello

Half Time
L. Lucchesi

assist: G. Pereiro

46′
49′Stefano Negro
59′
A. DanziM. Angeli
59′
F. PittarelloT. Maistrello
G. Pereiro

assist: K. de Boer

61′
A. RaimondoA. Favilli
66′
Gastón Pereiro67′
68′
C. CassanoE. Baldini
68′
G. CarrieroV. Mastrantonio
G. PereiroJ. Łabojko
73′
T. CasasolaF. Distefano
74′
G. FaticantiC. Favasuli
74′
80′
L. PandolfiA. Magrassi
V. MantovaniG. Boloca
82′
Kees de Boer83′
Full Time

Match Statistics

7Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal10
15Total Shots18
3Blocked Shots4
9Shots insidebox16
6Shots outsidebox2
9Fouls15
5Corner Kicks8
1Offsides0
43%Ball Possession57%
3Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves4
323Total passes414
218Passes accurate321
67%Passes %78%
0expected_goals0

Lineups

Defensive Solidity

Ternana deploy 3 defenders rated — on average, against Cittadella's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Ternana field 5 midfielders averaging —, versus Cittadella's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Ternana start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Cittadella averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Ternana3-5-24-3-1-2Cittadella
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Iannari.13Mantova.4Sørensen44Lucchesi15Casasola8Boer16Fatican.66Pyyhtiä79Carboni10Pereiro9Raimondo36Kastrati2Salvi26Pavan30Negro24Carisso.16Vita27Danzi20Carriero10Cassano7Pandolfi11Pittare.

Substitutes

Coach: R. Breda

Substitutes

Coach: E. Gorini

TernanaPosition StrengthCittadella
Ternana3-5-2
1GoalkeeperA. Iannarilli
13DefenderV. Mantovani
4DefenderF. Sørensen
44DefenderL. Lucchesi
15MidfielderT. Casasola
8MidfielderK. de Boer
16MidfielderG. Faticanti
66MidfielderN. Pyyhtiä
79MidfielderF. Carboni
10ForwardG. Pereiro
9ForwardA. Raimondo
Cittadella4-3-1-2
36GoalkeeperE. Kastrati
2DefenderA. Salvi
26DefenderN. Pavan
30DefenderS. Negro
24DefenderL. Carissoni
16MidfielderA. Vita
27MidfielderA. Danzi
20MidfielderG. Carriero
10MidfielderC. Cassano
7ForwardL. Pandolfi
11ForwardF. Pittarello

Match Summary

Ternana defeated Cittadella 3:1. The match was played in Serie B 2023. Goals were scored by F. Carboni 22′, L. Pandolfi 40′, L. Lucchesi 46′, G. Pereiro 61′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Ternana had 43% possession while Cittadella held 57%. Ternana had 15 shots (7 on target) compared to 18 (4 on target) for Cittadella. Ternana made 5 substitutions, Cittadella made 5.

Rivalry since 2016

Ternana vs Cittadella Head to Head Results

9 stretnutí
Ternana
4
wins
Drawn
3
Cittadella
2
wins
Total goals
25 · 2.8/match
Both scored
6/9 · 67%
Over 2.5
4/9 · 44%

Recent Form

Ternana

DLWDLD

Cittadella

DLWLLW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Ternana5wins
3draws10 meetings
Cittadella2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.9

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (33%) — the odds may underestimate Ternana.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.5%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 35.9%Draw 31.3%Away 38.2%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.623.132.50
Max2.933.252.73
Over 2.5: 44.4%Under 2.5: 61.7%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market33.2%31.1%35.7%
Public market34.2%29.4%36.4%
Δ0.9%1.7%0.7%

Ternana vs Cittadella — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Ternana
Result vs. Market: Cittadella (38%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

TernanaHalf-time:11Cittadella
15Shots18
7Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
20/01/24Ternana3–1Cittadella2.78/3.19/2.62
07/10/23Cittadella2–2Ternana2.17/3.26/3.55
25/02/23Ternana1–2Cittadella2.21/3.26/3.62
01/10/22Cittadella0–2Ternana2.14/3.32/3.55
02/04/22Cittadella1–2Ternana2.31/3.22/3.16
20/11/21Ternana1–1Cittadella2.15/3.30/3.45
04/11/17Cittadella1–1Ternana1.63/3.73/5.64
07/04/18Ternana5–1Cittadella3.77/3.15/2.10
04/09/16Cittadella2–0Ternana2.11/3.11/3.87
28/01/17Ternana1–0Cittadella2.79/2.93/2.79

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Ternana

W 208D 231L 247
Over 2.544
Goals scored804

Away Record: Cittadella

W 229D 227L 262
Over 2.543
Goals scored841

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026