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Bari vs Palermo

Full Time

Serie B · Season 2024

Stadio Comunale San Nicola, Bari11 April 2025 at 19:30
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Bari

21
Referee: K. Bonacina

Match Events

Bari
Palermo
Kick Off
G. Maggiore

assist: C. Favasuli

6′
18′
J. Pohjanpalo
Half Time
48′Giangiacomo Magnani
Costantino Favasuli52′
K. LasagnaN. Bonfanti
73′
C. FallettiN. Bellomo
73′
79′
M. BrunoriR. Insigne
79′
V. VerreA. Vasić
M. MaitaA. Oliveri
81′
C. FavasuliA. Favilli
81′
84′Kristoffer Lund
87′
N. PierozziS. Diakité
L. Šimić

assist: N. Bellomo

89′
R. MaielloF. Vicari
90+2′
90′
K. LundJ. Le Douaron
90′
F. RanocchiaF. Di Mariano
Full Time

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal3
13Total Shots7
3Blocked Shots1
10Shots insidebox4
3Shots outsidebox3
10Fouls13
7Corner Kicks4
0Offsides1
52%Ball Possession48%
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves4
440Total passes412
374Passes accurate336
85%Passes %82%
0expected_goals0
0goals_prevented0

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Bari is 6.85, compared to 6.85 for Palermo. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Bari's highest-rated starter is M. Dorval (6.95), while Palermo's best-rated player is F. Ranocchia (7.31).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Bari have contributed 4 goals and 7 assists this season, led by G. Maggiore (3G). Palermo's starters account for 37 goals and 14 assists, spearheaded by J. Pohjanpalo (24G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Bari deploy 3 defenders rated 6.82 on average, against Palermo's 3-man backline averaging 6.73. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Bari field 5 midfielders averaging 6.86, versus Palermo's 4 rated 6.96. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Bari start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 3 for Palermo averaging 6.81. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 78% for Bari and 77% for Palermo. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Bari's starters have collected 10 yellow cards this season, compared to 21 for Palermo. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Bari's starting XI is 26.7 (youngest: M. Dorval (24), oldest: V. Mantovani (29)), while Palermo average 27.7 (youngest: N. Pierozzi (24), oldest: M. Brunori (31)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Bari's starters average 24 league appearances each, versus 25 for Palermo. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Bari3-5-23-4-2-1Palermo
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Radunov.3Mantova.44Šimić55Obaretin27Favasuli4Maita17Maiello21Maggiore93Dorval19Falletti15Lasagna12Audero4Baniya28Blin24Magnani27Pierozzi6Gomes10Ranocch.3Lund26Verre9Brunori19Pohjanp.

Substitutes

Coach: M. Longo

Substitutes

Coach: A. Dionisi

BariPosition StrengthPalermo
6.85
Avg Rating
6.85
6.82Defender (3 v 3)6.73
0G 0A0G 0A
6.86Midfielder (5 v 4)6.96
4G 7A12G 6A
Forward (2 v 3)6.81
0G 0A25G 8A
Bari3-5-2
1GoalkeeperB. Radunović
3DefenderV. Mantovani6.8
44DefenderL. Šimić
55DefenderN. Obaretin
27MidfielderC. Favasuli
4MidfielderM. Maita
17MidfielderR. Maiello
21MidfielderG. Maggiore6.83G1A
93MidfielderM. Dorval7.01G6A
19ForwardC. Falletti
15ForwardK. Lasagna
Palermo3-4-2-1
12GoalkeeperE. Audero
4DefenderR. Baniya
28DefenderA. Blin6.7
24DefenderG. Magnani6.8
27MidfielderN. Pierozzi7.05G4A
6MidfielderC. Gomes6.61G
10MidfielderF. Ranocchia7.36G2A
3MidfielderK. Lund
26ForwardV. Verre
9ForwardM. Brunori6.61G1A
19ForwardJ. Pohjanpalo7.024G7A

Match Summary

Bari defeated Palermo 2:1. The match was played in Serie B 2024. Goals were scored by G. Maggiore 6′, J. Pohjanpalo 18′, L. Šimić 89′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Bari had 52% possession while Palermo held 48%. Bari had 13 shots (6 on target) compared to 7 (3 on target) for Palermo. Bari made 5 substitutions, Palermo made 5.

Rivalry since 2010

Bari vs Palermo Head to Head Results

15 stretnutí
Bari
0
wins
Drawn
7
Palermo
8
wins
Total goals
30 · 2.0/match
Both scored
6/15 · 40%
Over 2.5
5/15 · 33%

Recent Form

Bari

WLLLWL

Palermo

WDWDWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Palermo dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Bari1wins
3draws10 meetings
Palermo6wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

30%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (33%) — the odds may underestimate Palermo.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 34.3%Draw 31.5%Away 38.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.883.102.55
Max2.953.242.59
Over 2.5: 51.3%Under 2.5: 52.6%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market32.8%29.9%37.4%
Public market32.7%30.4%36.9%

Bari vs Palermo — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Bari
Result vs. Market: Palermo (39%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BariHalf-time:11Palermo
13Shots7
6Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
30/01/26Bari0–3Palermo4.50/3.20/1.86
19/09/25Palermo2–0Bari1.65/3.62/5.83
11/04/25Bari2–1Palermo2.92/3.17/2.57
26/12/24Palermo1–0Bari1.96/3.33/3.97
02/02/24Palermo3–0Bari1.77/3.48/4.94
18/08/23Bari0–0Palermo2.63/3.03/2.80
20/01/23Palermo1–0Bari2.99/2.96/2.59
19/08/22Bari1–1Palermo2.32/3.16/3.28
10/12/17Bari0–3Palermo2.10/3.12/3.88
30/04/18Palermo1–1Bari1.95/3.30/4.04

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Bari

W 265D 265L 247
Over 2.541
Goals scored896

Away Record: Palermo

W 168D 134L 91
Over 2.547
Goals scored568

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026