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Modena vs Mantova

Full Time

Serie B · Season 2025

Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena21 March 2026 at 18:30
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Modena

21
Away

Mantova

Match Events

Modena
Mantova
Kick Off
A. Sersanti

assist: E. Gliozzi

14′
Francesco Zampano31′
Half Time
A. SersantiS. Wiafe
46′
46′
N. BusoD. Bragantini
46′
T. MarrasM. Caprini
D. Tonoli
59′
62′Nicolò Radaelli
65′
N. RadaelliT. Maggioni
E. GliozziG. Ambrosino
70′
F. ZampanoG. Beyuku
70′
76′
A. DembeleD. Mensah
77′
L. MancusoC. Falletti
79′Rachid Kouda
81′
D. Mensah

assist: R. Kouda

L. ZanimacchiaM. Cotali
87′
89′Alessio Castellini
90+5′Davis Mensah
M. De LucaP. Mendes
90′
Full Time

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal3
9Total Shots8
2Blocked Shots3
8Shots insidebox5
1Shots outsidebox3
13Fouls20
1Corner Kicks4
4Offsides1
37%Ball Possession63%
1Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves2
327Total passes557
234Passes accurate472
72%Passes %85%
0.50expected_goals0.70
-1goals_prevented-1

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Modena is 6.93, compared to 6.85 for Mantova. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Modena's highest-rated starter is L. Chichizola (7.42), while Mantova's best-rated player is F. Benaissa-Yahia (7.08).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Modena have contributed 31 goals and 13 assists this season, led by E. Gliozzi (11G). Mantova's starters account for 21 goals and 19 assists, spearheaded by L. Mancuso (8G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Modena deploy 2 defenders rated 7.00 on average, against Mantova's 3-man backline averaging 6.87. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Modena field 6 midfielders averaging 6.94, versus Mantova's 4 rated 6.93. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Modena start 2 forward(s) averaging 6.59, compared to 3 for Mantova averaging 6.73. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 77% for Modena and 79% for Mantova. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Modena's starters have collected 36 yellow cards this season, compared to 46 for Mantova. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Modena's starting XI is 28.5 (youngest: D. Tonoli (23), oldest: L. Chichizola (35)), while Mantova average 24.5 (youngest: A. Dembele (21), oldest: F. Bardi (33)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Modena's starters average 31 league appearances each, versus 24 for Mantova. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Modena3-5-23-4-2-1Mantova
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Chichiz.77Tonoli28Adorni20Nieling7Zampano5Sersanti16Gerli8Santoro98Zanimac.99Luca9Gliozzi24Bardi3Dembele29Cella27Castell.17Radaelli21Trimboli80Kouda50Benaiss.23Marras77Buso9Mancuso

Substitutes

Coach: Andrea Sottil

Substitutes

Coach: Francesco Modesto

ModenaPosition StrengthMantova
6.93
Avg Rating
6.85
7.42Goalkeeper (1 v 1)6.84
0G 0A0G 0A
7.00Defender (2 v 3)6.87
6G 1A2G 2A
6.94Midfielder (6 v 4)6.93
11G 7A3G 14A
6.59Forward (2 v 3)6.73
14G 5A16G 3A
Modena3-5-2
1GoalkeeperL. Chichizola7.4
77DefenderD. Tonoli7.25G
28DefenderD. Adorni6.81G1A
20MidfielderB. Nieling
7MidfielderF. Zampano6.84G1A
5MidfielderA. Sersanti6.82G
16MidfielderF. Gerli7.0
8MidfielderS. Santoro7.22G4A
98MidfielderL. Zanimacchia6.93G2A
99ForwardM. De Luca6.53G3A
9ForwardE. Gliozzi6.711G2A
Mantova3-4-2-1
24GoalkeeperF. Bardi6.8
3DefenderA. Dembele6.8
29DefenderS. Cella6.82G
27DefenderA. Castellini7.02A
17MidfielderN. Radaelli6.64A
21MidfielderS. Trimboli7.01G7A
80MidfielderR. Kouda7.01G1A
50MidfielderF. Benaissa-Yahia7.11G2A
23ForwardT. Marras6.87G1A
77ForwardN. Buso6.81G2A
9ForwardL. Mancuso6.68G

Match Summary

Modena defeated Mantova 2:1. The match was played in Serie B 2025. Goals were scored by A. Sersanti 14′, D. Tonoli 59′, D. Mensah 81′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Modena had 37% possession while Mantova held 63%. Modena had 9 shots (4 on target) compared to 8 (2 on target) for Mantova. Expected goals: Modena 0.50 — Mantova 0.70. Modena made 5 substitutions, Mantova made 5.

Rivalry since 2025

Modena vs Mantova Head to Head Results

1 stretnutí
Modena
1
wins
Drawn
0
Mantova
0
wins
Total goals
4 · 4.0/match
Both scored
1/1 · 100%
Over 2.5
1/1 · 100%

Recent Meetings

Highest-scoring game: 13 v 2025All 1 meetings

Recent Form

Modena

WLLDDL

Mantova

WWLWWL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Modena4wins
5draws10 meetings
Mantova1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.9

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

80%

Both teams scored

Market Summary

Margin: 8.0%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 60.2%Draw 27.8%Away 20.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.663.605.00
Max1.663.605.00
Over 2.5: 51.3%Under 2.5: 54.1%
Market favourite:Modena · Moderate favourite

Result vs. Market

Modena
Result vs. Market: Modena (60%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ModenaHalf-time:10Mantova
9Shots8
4Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
21/03/26Modena2–1Mantova1.66/3.60/5.00
20/09/25Mantova1–3Modena2.91/3.17/2.46
01/02/25Modena3–1Mantova1.78/3.42/4.85
30/11/24Mantova0–0Modena3.12/3.11/2.37
13/12/08Mantova2–2Modena1.69/3.10/5.18
12/12/09Modena1–1Mantova1.86/3.08/4.48
09/05/09Modena1–0Mantova2.13/2.80/3.56
08/05/10Mantova1–1Modena1.66/3.08/5.54
08/03/08Modena2–2Mantova2.45/2.78/2.95
06/10/07Mantova3–2Modena1.81/2.89/4.73

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Modena

W 225D 234L 230
Over 2.542
Goals scored819

Away Record: Mantova

W 92D 101L 89
Over 2.540
Goals scored321

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 23 Mar 2026