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Rayo Vallecano vs Numancia

Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid16 October 2016 at 17:00
Referee: Victor Areces Franco

Match Events

Rayo Vallecano
Numancia
Kick Off
2′
Manu del Moral
Antonio Amaya
27′
Lass Bangoura29′
Half Time
N. FedorÁlex Moreno
59′
59′
Marc Mateu
65′
J. Álvarez
Roberto TrashorrasF. Cristaldo
68′
68′
MunirAitor Fernández
74′Marc Mateu
78′
Pablo ValcarceNacho
P. Ebert
84′
Zé CastroSanti Comesaña
86′
86′
Manu del MoralJ. Acuña
Full Time

Match Statistics

7Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal2
15Total Shots8
2Blocked Shots1
13Shots insidebox8
2Shots outsidebox0
15Fouls9
8Corner Kicks4
5Offsides5
63%Ball Possession37%
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves4
487Total passes278
365Passes accurate169
75%Passes %61%

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Rayo Vallecano is —, compared to 6.50 for Numancia. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Rayo Vallecano's highest-rated starter is —, while Numancia's best-rated player is Carlos Gutiérrez (6.50).

Defensive Solidity

Rayo Vallecano deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Numancia's 3-man backline averaging 6.50. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Rayo Vallecano field 3 midfielders averaging —, versus Numancia's 6 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Rayo Vallecano start 3 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Numancia averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages —% for Rayo Vallecano and 83% for Numancia. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Age & Experience

The average age of Rayo Vallecano's starting XI is — (youngest: —, oldest: —), while Numancia average 34.0 (youngest: Carlos Gutiérrez (34), oldest: Carlos Gutiérrez (34)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Rayo Vallecano's starters average 0 league appearances each, versus 1 for Numancia. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Rayo Vallecano4-4-24-2-3-1Numancia
GKDEFMIDFWD
1Gazzani.18Castro15Raț4Amaya2Galán20Ebert10Trashor.29Beltrán9Gonçalv.7Fedor19Bangoura1Munir3Ripa17Medina16Gutiérr.10Álvarez6Pérez21Mateu8Escassi20Valcarce7Moral23Capilla

Substitutes

Coach: José Ramón Sandoval

Substitutes

Coach: Arrasate

Rayo VallecanoPosition StrengthNumancia
Avg Rating
6.50
Defender (4 v 3)6.50
0G 0A0G 0A
Rayo Vallecano4-4-2
1GoalkeeperP. Gazzaniga
18DefenderZé Castro
15DefenderR. Raț
4DefenderAntonio Amaya
2DefenderErnesto Galán
20MidfielderP. Ebert
10MidfielderRoberto Trashorras
29MidfielderFran Beltrán
9ForwardManucho Gonçalves
7ForwardN. Fedor
19ForwardAlhassane Bangoura
Numancia4-2-3-1
1GoalkeeperMunir
3DefenderRipa
17DefenderUnai Medina
16DefenderCarlos Gutiérrez6.5
10MidfielderJ. Álvarez
6MidfielderIñigo Pérez
21MidfielderMarc Mateu
8MidfielderAlberto Escassi
20MidfielderPablo Valcarce
23MidfielderEneko Capilla
7ForwardManu del Moral

Match Summary

Rayo Vallecano and Numancia drew 3:3. The match was played in Segunda División 2016. Goals were scored by Manu del Moral 2′, Antonio Amaya 27′, Marc Mateu 59′, J. Álvarez 65′, Álex Moreno 74′, P. Ebert 84′. 2 yellow cards were shown. Rayo Vallecano had 63% possession while Numancia held 37%. Rayo Vallecano had 15 shots (7 on target) compared to 8 (5 on target) for Numancia. Rayo Vallecano made 3 substitutions, Numancia made 3.

Rivalry since 2017

Rayo Vallecano vs Numancia Head to Head Results

5 stretnutí
Rayo Vallecano
1
wins
Drawn
4
Numancia
0
wins
Total goals
13 · 2.6/match
Both scored
3/5 · 60%
Over 2.5
3/5 · 60%

Recent Form

Rayo Vallecano

WWDWLL

Numancia

WDWWDD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Rayo Vallecano3wins
6draws10 meetings
Numancia1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.7

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (51%) — the odds may underestimate Numancia.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 55.0%Draw 29.0%Away 21.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.753.404.33
Max1.903.504.77
Market favourite:Rayo Vallecano · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market51.3%28.3%20.4%
Public market53.5%26.8%19.7%
Δ2.2%1.5%0.7%

Rayo Vallecano vs Numancia — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Rayo Vallecano (55%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Rayo VallecanoHalf-time:11Numancia

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
09/07/20Rayo Vallecano3–2Numancia1.93/3.35/4.17
16/11/19Numancia2–2Rayo Vallecano2.70/3.06/2.79
26/08/17Rayo Vallecano2–2Numancia1.92/3.40/4.23
21/01/18Numancia0–0Rayo Vallecano2.64/3.08/2.81
16/10/16Rayo Vallecano3–3Numancia1.82/3.45/4.62
25/03/17Numancia0–0Rayo Vallecano2.18/3.11/3.57
02/05/99Numancia2–1Rayo Vallecano
29/11/98Rayo Vallecano1–1Numancia
17/01/98Numancia0–1Rayo Vallecano
07/09/97Rayo Vallecano2–0Numancia

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Rayo Vallecano

W 189D 149L 162
Over 2.548
Goals scored665

Away Record: Numancia

W 283D 254L 261
Over 2.542
Goals scored972

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026