5 April 2023 at 16:30
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.1
Average goals per game
20%
Games with 3+ goals
40%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (29%) — the odds may underestimate Aris Thessalonikis.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.8%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 3.10 | 2.80 | 2.38 |
| Max | 3.33 | 3.00 | 2.43 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 28.7% | 31.9% | 39.4% |
| Public market | 29.1% | 31.5% | 39.4% |
Aris Thessalonikis vs Panathinaikos — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/2625/26 | Panathinaikos | 3–1 | Aris Thessalonikis | 1.81/3.20/4.75 |
| 19/10/2525/26 | Aris Thessalonikis | 1–1 | Panathinaikos | 3.19/3.25/2.25 |
| 09/02/2524/25 | Aris Thessalonikis | 2–0 | Panathinaikos | 3.98/3.31/1.93 |
| 27/10/2424/25 | Panathinaikos | 1–1 | Aris Thessalonikis | 1.71/3.53/4.71 |
| 28/04/2423/24 | Panathinaikos | 0–1 | Aris Thessalonikis | 1.27/5.20/9.99 |
| 07/04/2423/24 | Aris Thessalonikis | 0–2 | Panathinaikos | 4.14/3.46/1.84 |
| 28/02/2423/24 | Panathinaikos | 2–0 | Aris Thessalonikis | 1.52/3.95/6.13 |
| 26/11/2323/24 | Aris Thessalonikis | 2–0 | Panathinaikos | 3.37/3.32/2.09 |
| 12/02/2322/23 | Aris Thessalonikis | 1–2 | Panathinaikos | 2.93/2.80/2.70 |
| 23/10/2222/23 | Panathinaikos | 1–0 | Aris Thessalonikis | 1.81/3.28/4.75 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Aris Thessalonikis
Away Record: Panathinaikos
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Panathinaikos defeated Aris Thessalonikis 1:0. The match was played in Super League 1 2022. Goals were scored by A. Šporar 69′. 8 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Aris Thessalonikis had 47% possession while Panathinaikos held 53%. Aris Thessalonikis had 6 shots (0 on target) compared to 10 (2 on target) for Panathinaikos. Aris Thessalonikis made 5 substitutions, Panathinaikos made 4.
Match Events
Key match events between Aris Thessalonikis and Panathinaikos — 1 goals and 9 cards recorded during the match.
assist: Z. Šarlija
Match Statistics
Aris Thessalonikis had 47% possession against Panathinaikos's 53%. Aris Thessalonikis registered 6 shots (0 on target) while Panathinaikos managed 10 (2 on target). Corner kicks: 5–4. Fouls committed: 22–16.
Lineups
Aris Thessalonikis lined up in a — formation, while Panathinaikos deployed a 4-1-4-1.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Aris Thessalonikis is 7.25, compared to 6.88 for Panathinaikos. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Aris Thessalonikis's highest-rated starter is Fabiano (7.25), while Panathinaikos's best-rated player is A. Čerin (6.88).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Aris Thessalonikis have contributed 2 goals and 0 assists this season, led by Fabiano (2G). Panathinaikos's starters account for 1 goals and 1 assists, spearheaded by A. Čerin (1G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Aris Thessalonikis deploy 4 defenders rated 7.25 on average, against Panathinaikos's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Aris Thessalonikis field 4 midfielders averaging —, versus Panathinaikos's 5 rated 6.88. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Aris Thessalonikis start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Panathinaikos averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 87% for Aris Thessalonikis and 90% for Panathinaikos. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Aris Thessalonikis's starters have collected 3 yellow cards this season, compared to 1 for Panathinaikos. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Aris Thessalonikis's starting XI is 33.5 (youngest: J. Brabec (33), oldest: Fabiano (34)), while Panathinaikos average 25.5 (youngest: F. Ioannidis (25), oldest: A. Čerin (26)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Aris Thessalonikis's starters average 10 league appearances each, versus 23 for Panathinaikos. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Substitutes
Coach: I. Jovanović
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Aris Thessalonikis have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats. Panathinaikos show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
Aris Thessalonikis
Panathinaikos
Aris Thessalonikis vs Panathinaikos Head to Head Results
Aris Thessalonikis and Panathinaikos have met 3 times — Aris Thessalonikis won 0, Panathinaikos won 2, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. Panathinaikos leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 3 meetings. A combined 9 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.00 per match (2 for the home side, 7 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 2 matches (67%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (67%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Panathinaikos are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–1 in 2026.
0
Aris Thessalonikis
1
Drawn
2
Panathinaikos
Recent Meetings (3)
API data: 15 Mar 2026