8 May 2023 at 18:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
AEK Athens FC dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.4
Average goals per game
40%
Games with 3+ goals
30%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (14%) — the odds may underestimate AEK Athens FC.
Market Summary
Margin: 7.7%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 6.50 | 3.75 | 1.44 |
| Max | 7.00 | 4.33 | 1.50 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 14.1% | 23.1% | 62.8% |
| Public market | 14.6% | 22.0% | 63.4% |
| Δ | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
Aris Thessalonikis vs AEK Athens FC — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/2625/26 | Aris Thessalonikis | 1–1 | AEK Athens FC | 5.25/3.70/1.62 |
| 23/11/2525/26 | AEK Athens FC | 1–0 | Aris Thessalonikis | 1.42/4.33/7.00 |
| 09/03/2524/25 | Aris Thessalonikis | 0–0 | AEK Athens FC | 5.15/3.51/1.70 |
| 30/11/2424/25 | AEK Athens FC | 4–0 | Aris Thessalonikis | 1.43/4.19/7.24 |
| 21/04/2423/24 | Aris Thessalonikis | 1–2 | AEK Athens FC | 6.61/4.52/1.42 |
| 14/04/2423/24 | AEK Athens FC | 2–0 | Aris Thessalonikis | 1.21/5.96/13.02 |
| 03/03/2423/24 | Aris Thessalonikis | 3–3 | AEK Athens FC | 7.37/4.32/1.42 |
| 04/12/2323/24 | AEK Athens FC | 1–0 | Aris Thessalonikis | 1.37/4.60/7.65 |
| 29/01/2322/23 | AEK Athens FC | 3–0 | Aris Thessalonikis | 1.50/3.92/6.74 |
| 09/10/2222/23 | Aris Thessalonikis | 0–2 | AEK Athens FC | 2.82/3.08/2.58 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Aris Thessalonikis
Away Record: AEK Athens FC
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
AEK Athens FC defeated Aris Thessalonikis 2:1. The match was played in Super League 1 2022. Goals were scored by A. Gray 17′ (pen.), T. van Weert 23′, S. Zuber 43′. 6 yellow cards were shown. Aris Thessalonikis had 55% possession while AEK Athens FC held 45%. Aris Thessalonikis had 6 shots (2 on target) compared to 15 (7 on target) for AEK Athens FC. Aris Thessalonikis made 3 substitutions, AEK Athens FC made 5. VAR was involved: Penalty confirmed (Mateo García 15′).
Match Events
Key match events between Aris Thessalonikis and AEK Athens FC — 3 goals and 6 cards recorded during the match.
Penalty
assist: O. Pineda
assist: D. Szymański
Match Statistics
Aris Thessalonikis had 55% possession against AEK Athens FC's 45%. Aris Thessalonikis registered 6 shots (2 on target) while AEK Athens FC managed 15 (7 on target). Corner kicks: 1–3. Fouls committed: 7–20.
Lineups
Aris Thessalonikis lined up in a — formation, while AEK Athens FC deployed a 4-3-1-2.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Aris Thessalonikis is —, compared to 6.92 for AEK Athens FC. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Aris Thessalonikis's highest-rated starter is —, while AEK Athens FC's best-rated player is O. Pineda (7.39).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Aris Thessalonikis have contributed 0 goals and 0 assists this season, led by —. AEK Athens FC's starters account for 7 goals and 10 assists, spearheaded by O. Pineda (5G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Aris Thessalonikis deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against AEK Athens FC's 4-man backline averaging 6.92. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Aris Thessalonikis field 3 midfielders averaging —, versus AEK Athens FC's 4 rated 6.93. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Aris Thessalonikis start 3 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for AEK Athens FC averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages —% for Aris Thessalonikis and 86% for AEK Athens FC. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Aris Thessalonikis's starters have collected 0 yellow cards this season, compared to 24 for AEK Athens FC. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Aris Thessalonikis's starting XI is 34.0 (youngest: Julián (34), oldest: Julián (34)), while AEK Athens FC average 30.2 (youngest: L. Rota (28), oldest: D. Vida (36)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Aris Thessalonikis's starters average 0 league appearances each, versus 19 for AEK Athens FC. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Substitutes
Coach: M. Almeyda
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Aris Thessalonikis have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats. AEK Athens FC show 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
Aris Thessalonikis
AEK Athens FC
Aris Thessalonikis vs AEK Athens FC Head to Head Results
Aris Thessalonikis and AEK Athens FC have met 2 times — Aris Thessalonikis won 0, AEK Athens FC won 1, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. AEK Athens FC leads the head-to-head with 1 victories from 2 meetings. A combined 3 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.50 per match (1 for the home side, 2 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 games (0%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–1 in 2026.
0
Aris Thessalonikis
1
Drawn
1
AEK Athens FC
Recent Meetings (2)
API data: 15 Mar 2026