23 October 2022 at 16:30

Referee: N. Dabanović

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Panathinaikos5wins
2draws10 meetings
Aris Thessalonikis3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.1

Average goals per game

20%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Market Summary

Margin: 6.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 55.1%Draw 30.5%Away 21.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.783.204.50
Max1.853.395.00
Over 2.5: 43.5%Under 2.5: 62.5%
Market favourite:Panathinaikos · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market52.2%27.9%19.9%
Public market51.6%29.4%19.1%
Δ0.7%1.5%0.8%

Panathinaikos vs Aris Thessalonikis — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Panathinaikos
Result vs. Market: Panathinaikos (55%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

PanathinaikosHalf-time:00Aris Thessalonikis
12Shots5
3Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
01/03/26Panathinaikos3–1Aris Thessalonikis1.81/3.20/4.75
19/10/25Aris Thessalonikis1–1Panathinaikos3.19/3.25/2.25
09/02/25Aris Thessalonikis2–0Panathinaikos3.98/3.31/1.93
27/10/24Panathinaikos1–1Aris Thessalonikis1.71/3.53/4.71
28/04/24Panathinaikos0–1Aris Thessalonikis1.27/5.20/9.99
07/04/24Aris Thessalonikis0–2Panathinaikos4.14/3.46/1.84
28/02/24Panathinaikos2–0Aris Thessalonikis1.52/3.95/6.13
26/11/23Aris Thessalonikis2–0Panathinaikos3.37/3.32/2.09
12/02/23Aris Thessalonikis1–2Panathinaikos2.93/2.80/2.70
23/10/22Panathinaikos1–0Aris Thessalonikis1.81/3.28/4.75

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Panathinaikos

W 518D 180L 172
Over 2.546
Goals scored1479

Away Record: Aris Thessalonikis

W 269D 185L 229
Over 2.540
Goals scored815

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Panathinaikos defeated Aris Thessalonikis 1:0. The match was played in Super League 1 2022. Goals were scored by A. Šporar 90′. 9 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Panathinaikos had 54% possession while Aris Thessalonikis held 46%. Panathinaikos had 12 shots (3 on target) compared to 5 (1 on target) for Aris Thessalonikis. Panathinaikos made 4 substitutions, Aris Thessalonikis made 4. VAR was involved: Goal confirmed (Bernard 70′), Card upgrade (Luis Palma 90′).

Match Events

Key match events between Panathinaikos and Aris Thessalonikis — 1 goals and 10 cards recorded during the match.

Panathinaikos
Aris Thessalonikis
Kick Off
Half Time
F. IoannidisA. Šporar
63′
63′
J. IturbeA. Gray
63′
Y. GervinhoL. Palma
Goal confirmed70′
VAR
S. PalaciosAitor Cantalapiedra
79′
BernardE. Çokaj
80′
80′
S. MBakataP. Diop
Aitor CantalapiedraG. Vagiannidis
83′
90+6′Luis Palma
VAR
90+5′Card upgrade
90+1′
M. GarcíaM. Peersman
A. Šporar

assist: B. Verbič

90+2′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Panathinaikos had 54% possession against Aris Thessalonikis's 46%. Panathinaikos registered 12 shots (3 on target) while Aris Thessalonikis managed 5 (1 on target). Corner kicks: 3–2. Fouls committed: 11–16.

3Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal2
12Total Shots5
3Blocked Shots2
9Shots insidebox3
3Shots outsidebox2
11Fouls16
3Corner Kicks2
0Offsides1
54%Ball Possession46%
4Yellow Cards5
0Red Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves2
424Total passes356
352Passes accurate284
83%Passes %80%

Lineups

Panathinaikos lined up in a 4-3-3 formation under I. Jovanović, while Aris Thessalonikis deployed a 4-2-3-1 under A. Pardew.

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Panathinaikos is 6.88, compared to 7.25 for Aris Thessalonikis. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Panathinaikos's highest-rated starter is A. Čerin (6.88), while Aris Thessalonikis's best-rated player is Fabiano (7.25).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Panathinaikos have contributed 1 goals and 1 assists this season, led by A. Čerin (1G). Aris Thessalonikis's starters account for 2 goals and 0 assists, spearheaded by Fabiano (2G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Panathinaikos deploy 4 defenders rated — on average, against Aris Thessalonikis's 4-man backline averaging 7.25. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Panathinaikos field 3 midfielders averaging —, versus Aris Thessalonikis's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Panathinaikos start 3 forward(s) averaging 6.88, compared to 1 for Aris Thessalonikis averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 90% for Panathinaikos and 87% for Aris Thessalonikis. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Panathinaikos's starters have collected 1 yellow cards this season, compared to 3 for Aris Thessalonikis. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Panathinaikos's starting XI is 25.5 (youngest: F. Ioannidis (25), oldest: A. Čerin (26)), while Aris Thessalonikis average 34.0 (youngest: Julián (34), oldest: Julián (34)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Panathinaikos's starters average 23 league appearances each, versus 19 for Aris Thessalonikis. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Panathinaikos4-3-34-2-3-1Aris Thessalonikis
GKDEFMIDFWD
91Brignoli14Sánchez23Magnúss.5Schenke.3Carlos10Bernard4Pérez34Palacios16Čerin7Ioannid.77Verbič23Julián22Odubajo3N'Koulou4Fabiano18Mazikou6Dabo13Etebo2M'Bakata10García11Iturbe27Gervinho

Substitutes

Coach: I. Jovanović

Substitutes

Coach: A. Pardew

PanathinaikosPosition StrengthAris Thessalonikis
6.88
Avg Rating
7.25
Defender (4 v 4)7.25
0G 0A2G 0A
6.88Forward (3 v 1)
1G 1A0G 0A
Panathinaikos4-3-3
91GoalkeeperA. Brignoli
14DefenderF. Sánchez
23DefenderH. Magnússon
5DefenderB. Schenkeveld
3DefenderJuan Carlos
10MidfielderBernard
4MidfielderRubén Pérez
34MidfielderS. Palacios
16ForwardA. Čerin6.91G1A
7ForwardF. Ioannidis
77ForwardB. Verbič
Aris Thessalonikis4-2-3-1
23GoalkeeperJulián
22DefenderM. Odubajo
3DefenderN. N'Koulou
4DefenderFabiano7.32G
18DefenderB. Mazikou
6MidfielderB. Dabo
13MidfielderO. Etebo
2MidfielderS. M'Bakata
10MidfielderM. García
11MidfielderJ. Iturbe
27ForwardY. Gervinho

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Panathinaikos have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Aris Thessalonikis show 1 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Panathinaikos

LDWLDW

Aris Thessalonikis

WDLDDL

Panathinaikos vs Aris Thessalonikis Head to Head Results

Panathinaikos and Aris Thessalonikis have met 33 times — Panathinaikos won 16, Aris Thessalonikis won 9, with 8 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Panathinaikos leads the head-to-head with 16 victories from 33 meetings. A combined 62 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.88 per match (37 for the home side, 25 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 10 matches (30%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (21%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Panathinaikos are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–1 in 2014.

16

Panathinaikos

8

Drawn

9

Aris Thessalonikis

Goals: 37Goals: 25

Recent Meetings (33)

1 Mar 2026Panathinaikos3 – 1Aris Thessalonikis
14 Jan 2026Panathinaikos3 – 0Aris Thessalonikis
19 Oct 2025Aris Thessalonikis1 – 1Panathinaikos
9 Feb 2025Aris Thessalonikis2 – 0Panathinaikos
27 Oct 2024Panathinaikos1 – 1Aris Thessalonikis
25 May 2024Panathinaikos1 – 0Aris Thessalonikis
28 Apr 2024Panathinaikos0 – 1Aris Thessalonikis
7 Apr 2024Aris Thessalonikis0 – 2Panathinaikos
28 Feb 2024Panathinaikos2 – 0Aris Thessalonikis
26 Nov 2023Aris Thessalonikis2 – 0Panathinaikos
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026