4 January 2023 at 18:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
1.3
Average goals per game
30%
Games with 3+ goals
30%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (51%) — the odds may underestimate Aris Thessalonikis.
Market Summary
Margin: 7.2%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.85 | 3.10 | 4.20 |
| Max | 1.91 | 3.41 | 4.50 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 51.0% | 27.7% | 21.4% |
| Public market | 49.7% | 29.2% | 21.1% |
| Δ | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
PAOK vs Aris Thessalonikis — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/2625/26 | Aris Thessalonikis | 0–0 | PAOK | 3.80/3.30/1.96 |
| 07/12/2525/26 | PAOK | 3–1 | Aris Thessalonikis | 1.46/3.90/7.00 |
| 19/01/2524/25 | Aris Thessalonikis | 0–0 | PAOK | 3.53/3.26/2.07 |
| 29/09/2424/25 | PAOK | 0–1 | Aris Thessalonikis | 1.67/3.73/4.81 |
| 19/05/2423/24 | Aris Thessalonikis | 1–2 | PAOK | 4.40/3.70/1.74 |
| 10/03/2423/24 | PAOK | 0–1 | Aris Thessalonikis | 1.49/4.20/6.14 |
| 07/01/2423/24 | Aris Thessalonikis | 2–1 | PAOK | 3.88/3.42/1.92 |
| 17/09/2323/24 | PAOK | 0–0 | Aris Thessalonikis | 1.51/3.85/6.26 |
| 04/01/2322/23 | PAOK | 1–0 | Aris Thessalonikis | 1.87/3.25/4.37 |
| 04/09/2222/23 | Aris Thessalonikis | 0–0 | PAOK | 2.47/3.08/2.95 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: PAOK
Away Record: Aris Thessalonikis
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
PAOK defeated Aris Thessalonikis 1:0. The match was played in Super League 1 2022. Goals were scored by S. Ingason 45′. 5 yellow cards were shown. PAOK had 42% possession while Aris Thessalonikis held 58%. PAOK had 13 shots (5 on target) compared to 6 (0 on target) for Aris Thessalonikis. PAOK made 4 substitutions, Aris Thessalonikis made 2. VAR was involved: Penalty awarded (Nélson Oliveira 19′).
Match Events
Key match events between PAOK and Aris Thessalonikis — 1 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.
assist: K. Koulierakis
Match Statistics
PAOK had 42% possession against Aris Thessalonikis's 58%. PAOK registered 13 shots (5 on target) while Aris Thessalonikis managed 6 (0 on target). Corner kicks: 9–2. Fouls committed: 13–20.
Lineups
PAOK lined up in a 4-2-3-1 formation under R. Lucescu, while Aris Thessalonikis deployed a 4-2-3-1 under A. Pardew.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for PAOK is 7.17, compared to 7.25 for Aris Thessalonikis. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. PAOK's highest-rated starter is I. Konstantelias (7.29), while Aris Thessalonikis's best-rated player is Fabiano (7.25).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of PAOK have contributed 9 goals and 10 assists this season, led by I. Konstantelias (7G). Aris Thessalonikis's starters account for 2 goals and 0 assists, spearheaded by Fabiano (2G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
PAOK deploy 4 defenders rated 7.04 on average, against Aris Thessalonikis's 4-man backline averaging 7.25. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
PAOK field 5 midfielders averaging 7.23, versus Aris Thessalonikis's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
PAOK start 1 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Aris Thessalonikis averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 81% for PAOK and 87% for Aris Thessalonikis. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
PAOK's starters have collected 7 yellow cards this season, compared to 3 for Aris Thessalonikis. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of PAOK's starting XI is 26.3 (youngest: I. Konstantelias (22), oldest: A. Živković (29)), while Aris Thessalonikis average 33.7 (youngest: J. Brabec (33), oldest: Julián (34)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
PAOK's starters average 16 league appearances each, versus 10 for Aris Thessalonikis. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: R. Lucescu
Substitutes
Coach: A. Pardew
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, PAOK have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Aris Thessalonikis show 1 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
PAOK
Aris Thessalonikis
PAOK vs Aris Thessalonikis Head to Head Results
PAOK and Aris Thessalonikis have met 33 times — PAOK won 10, Aris Thessalonikis won 8, with 15 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. PAOK leads the head-to-head with 10 victories from 33 meetings. A combined 69 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.09 per match (38 for the home side, 31 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 17 matches (52%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 games (36%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. PAOK are currently unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–2 in 2020.
10
PAOK
15
Drawn
8
Aris Thessalonikis
Recent Meetings (33)
API data: 15 Mar 2026