29 January 2023 at 17:30
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
AEK Athens FC dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.4
Average goals per game
40%
Games with 3+ goals
30%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (100%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (63%) — the odds may underestimate AEK Athens FC.
Market Summary
Margin: 7.4%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.47 | 3.60 | 6.00 |
| Max | 1.53 | 4.20 | 7.21 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 63.2% | 23.8% | 13.1% |
| Public market | 61.8% | 22.5% | 15.7% |
| Δ | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.7% |
AEK Athens FC vs Aris Thessalonikis — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/2625/26 | Aris Thessalonikis | 1–1 | AEK Athens FC | 5.25/3.70/1.62 |
| 23/11/2525/26 | AEK Athens FC | 1–0 | Aris Thessalonikis | 1.42/4.33/7.00 |
| 09/03/2524/25 | Aris Thessalonikis | 0–0 | AEK Athens FC | 5.15/3.51/1.70 |
| 30/11/2424/25 | AEK Athens FC | 4–0 | Aris Thessalonikis | 1.43/4.19/7.24 |
| 21/04/2423/24 | Aris Thessalonikis | 1–2 | AEK Athens FC | 6.61/4.52/1.42 |
| 14/04/2423/24 | AEK Athens FC | 2–0 | Aris Thessalonikis | 1.21/5.96/13.02 |
| 03/03/2423/24 | Aris Thessalonikis | 3–3 | AEK Athens FC | 7.37/4.32/1.42 |
| 04/12/2323/24 | AEK Athens FC | 1–0 | Aris Thessalonikis | 1.37/4.60/7.65 |
| 29/01/2322/23 | AEK Athens FC | 3–0 | Aris Thessalonikis | 1.50/3.92/6.74 |
| 09/10/2222/23 | Aris Thessalonikis | 0–2 | AEK Athens FC | 2.82/3.08/2.58 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: AEK Athens FC
Away Record: Aris Thessalonikis
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
AEK Athens FC defeated Aris Thessalonikis 3:0. The match was played in Super League 1 2022. Goals were scored by N. Amrabat 18′ (pen.), M. Gaćinović 76′, O. Pineda 89′. 9 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. AEK Athens FC had 55% possession while Aris Thessalonikis held 45%. AEK Athens FC had 14 shots (6 on target) compared to 6 (3 on target) for Aris Thessalonikis. AEK Athens FC made 5 substitutions, Aris Thessalonikis made 3.
Match Events
Key match events between AEK Athens FC and Aris Thessalonikis — 3 goals and 10 cards recorded during the match.
Penalty
assist: S. Araújo
assist: S. Araújo
Match Statistics
AEK Athens FC had 55% possession against Aris Thessalonikis's 45%. AEK Athens FC registered 14 shots (6 on target) while Aris Thessalonikis managed 6 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 3–4. Fouls committed: 29–16.
Lineups
AEK Athens FC lined up in a 4-3-1-2 formation under M. Almeyda, while Aris Thessalonikis deployed a 4-2-3-1 under A. Pardew.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for AEK Athens FC is 7.04, compared to 7.25 for Aris Thessalonikis. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. AEK Athens FC's highest-rated starter is O. Pineda (7.39), while Aris Thessalonikis's best-rated player is Fabiano (7.25).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of AEK Athens FC have contributed 7 goals and 7 assists this season, led by O. Pineda (5G). Aris Thessalonikis's starters account for 2 goals and 0 assists, spearheaded by Fabiano (2G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
AEK Athens FC deploy 4 defenders rated 6.92 on average, against Aris Thessalonikis's 4-man backline averaging 7.25. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
AEK Athens FC field 4 midfielders averaging 7.39, versus Aris Thessalonikis's 5 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
AEK Athens FC start 2 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Aris Thessalonikis averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 89% for AEK Athens FC and 87% for Aris Thessalonikis. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
AEK Athens FC's starters have collected 18 yellow cards this season, compared to 3 for Aris Thessalonikis. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of AEK Athens FC's starting XI is 30.8 (youngest: L. Rota (28), oldest: D. Vida (36)), while Aris Thessalonikis average 33.7 (youngest: J. Brabec (33), oldest: Julián (34)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
AEK Athens FC's starters average 17 league appearances each, versus 10 for Aris Thessalonikis. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: M. Almeyda
Substitutes
Coach: A. Pardew
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, AEK Athens FC have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats. Aris Thessalonikis show 1 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
AEK Athens FC
Aris Thessalonikis
AEK Athens FC vs Aris Thessalonikis Head to Head Results
AEK Athens FC and Aris Thessalonikis have met 33 times — AEK Athens FC won 17, Aris Thessalonikis won 6, with 10 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. AEK Athens FC leads the head-to-head with 17 victories from 33 meetings. A combined 81 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.45 per match (52 for the home side, 29 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 17 matches (52%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 games (45%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. AEK Athens FC are currently unbeaten in the last 14 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2024.
17
AEK Athens FC
10
Drawn
6
Aris Thessalonikis
Recent Meetings (33)
API data: 15 Mar 2026