25 September 2023 at 18:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.2
Average goals per game
80%
Games with 3+ goals
60%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (40%) — the odds may underestimate Panathinaikos.
Market Summary
Margin: 7.6%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.20 | 2.90 | 3.10 |
| Max | 2.37 | 3.20 | 3.30 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 40.0% | 30.7% | 29.3% |
| Public market | 41.4% | 29.8% | 28.9% |
| Δ | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens FC — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/2625/26 | AEK Athens FC | 4–0 | Panathinaikos | 1.96/3.40/3.70 |
| 30/11/2525/26 | Panathinaikos | 2–3 | AEK Athens FC | 2.57/3.05/2.70 |
| 04/05/2524/25 | AEK Athens FC | 1–2 | Panathinaikos | 1.99/3.40/3.74 |
| 06/04/2524/25 | Panathinaikos | 3–1 | AEK Athens FC | 2.86/3.02/2.69 |
| 19/01/2524/25 | Panathinaikos | 1–0 | AEK Athens FC | 2.76/3.11/2.64 |
| 29/09/2424/25 | AEK Athens FC | 2–0 | Panathinaikos | 1.81/3.55/4.22 |
| 24/04/2423/24 | AEK Athens FC | 3–0 | Panathinaikos | 1.88/3.44/4.07 |
| 03/04/2423/24 | Panathinaikos | 2–1 | AEK Athens FC | 2.81/3.24/2.49 |
| 14/01/2423/24 | AEK Athens FC | 2–2 | Panathinaikos | 1.87/3.37/4.05 |
| 25/09/2323/24 | Panathinaikos | 1–2 | AEK Athens FC | 2.29/3.06/3.21 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Panathinaikos
Away Record: AEK Athens FC
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
AEK Athens FC defeated Panathinaikos 2:1. The match was played in Super League 1 2023. Goals were scored by F. Đuričić 10′, S. Zuber 36′, O. Pineda 68′. 7 yellow cards were shown. Panathinaikos had 52% possession while AEK Athens FC held 48%. Panathinaikos had 11 shots (4 on target) compared to 16 (5 on target) for AEK Athens FC. Panathinaikos made 5 substitutions, AEK Athens FC made 5. VAR was involved: Goal confirmed (Rodolfo Pizarro 70′).
Match Events
Key match events between Panathinaikos and AEK Athens FC — 3 goals and 7 cards recorded during the match.
assist: F. Ioannidis
Match Statistics
Panathinaikos had 52% possession against AEK Athens FC's 48%. Panathinaikos registered 11 shots (4 on target) while AEK Athens FC managed 16 (5 on target). Corner kicks: 6–6. Fouls committed: 13–21.
Lineups
Panathinaikos lined up in a 4-3-2-1 formation under I. Jovanović, while AEK Athens FC deployed a 4-3-1-2 under M. Almeyda.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Panathinaikos is 6.59, compared to 6.95 for AEK Athens FC. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Panathinaikos's highest-rated starter is G. Kotsiras (6.81), while AEK Athens FC's best-rated player is O. Pineda (7.39).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Panathinaikos have contributed 3 goals and 1 assists this season, led by F. Đuričić (3G). AEK Athens FC's starters account for 5 goals and 10 assists, spearheaded by O. Pineda (5G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Panathinaikos deploy 4 defenders rated 6.81 on average, against AEK Athens FC's 4-man backline averaging 7.01. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Panathinaikos field 5 midfielders averaging 6.52, versus AEK Athens FC's 4 rated 6.93. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Panathinaikos start 1 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for AEK Athens FC averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 85% for Panathinaikos and 83% for AEK Athens FC. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Panathinaikos's starters have collected 7 yellow cards this season, compared to 18 for AEK Athens FC. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Panathinaikos's starting XI is 30.2 (youngest: F. Ioannidis (25), oldest: G. Kotsiras (33)), while AEK Athens FC average 28.6 (youngest: G. Mitoglou (26), oldest: N. Eliasson (30)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Panathinaikos's starters average 9 league appearances each, versus 21 for AEK Athens FC. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: I. Jovanović
Substitutes
Coach: M. Almeyda
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Panathinaikos have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. AEK Athens FC show 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.
Panathinaikos
AEK Athens FC
Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens FC Head to Head Results
Panathinaikos and AEK Athens FC have met 43 times — Panathinaikos won 15, AEK Athens FC won 15, with 13 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. A combined 92 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.14 per match (43 for the home side, 49 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 17 matches (40%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 17 games (40%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–3 in 2025.
15
Panathinaikos
13
Drawn
15
AEK Athens FC
Recent Meetings (43)
API data: 15 Mar 2026