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Panetolikos vs Larisa

Panetolikos Stadium, Agrinio12 May 2026 at 17:00
11
Away

Larisa

Referee: Alexandros Tsakalidis

Match Events

Panetolikos
Larisa
Kick Off
Half Time
46′
F. PerezD. Olafsson
58′
L. Tupta

assist: A. Sagal

63′
G. PasasL. Garate
Y. BadjiJ. Garcia
68′
C. MavriasG. Satsias
68′
Lenny LobatoL. Smyrlis
68′
Farley RosaK. Aleksic
77′
Esteban DiegoJ. Aguirre
77′
78′
A. SagalZ. Chatzistravos
78′
Y. MaconE. Ferigra
90+4′
L. TuptaT. Iliadis
J. Garcia

assist: G. Satsias

90′
Full Time

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal3
17Total Shots7
5Blocked Shots1
9Shots insidebox5
8Shots outsidebox2
13Fouls11
11Corner Kicks1
0Offsides1
69%Ball Possession31%
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves4
535Total passes241
469Passes accurate169
88%Passes %70%
1.56expected_goals0.90
0.42goals_prevented0.42

Lineups

Squad Ratings

The overall squad rating for Panetolikos is 6.82, compared to 6.79 for Larisa. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Panetolikos's highest-rated starter is Y. Kucherenko (7.41), while Larisa's best-rated player is J. Atanasov (7.08).

Attacking Output

The starting XI of Panetolikos have contributed 12 goals and 13 assists this season, led by A. Matan (5G). Larisa's starters account for 21 goals and 7 assists, spearheaded by A. Sagal (6G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.

Defensive Solidity

Panetolikos deploy 3 defenders rated 6.56 on average, against Larisa's 4-man backline averaging 6.76. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.

Midfield Control

Panetolikos field 6 midfielders averaging 6.84, versus Larisa's 4 rated 6.89. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.

Forward Threat

Panetolikos start 1 forward(s) averaging 6.96, compared to 2 for Larisa averaging 6.58. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.

Passing & Build-Up

Passing accuracy averages 77% for Panetolikos and 78% for Larisa. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.

Discipline

Panetolikos's starters have collected 36 yellow cards this season, compared to 46 for Larisa. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.

Age & Experience

The average age of Panetolikos's starting XI is 27.3 (youngest: Lenny Lobato (24), oldest: A. Bouchalakis (32)), while Larisa average 29.3 (youngest: T. Venetikidis (24), oldest: A. Papageorgiou (38)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.

Squad Depth

Panetolikos's starters average 22 league appearances each, versus 19 for Larisa. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.

Panetolikos4-1-4-14-4-1-1Larisa
GKDEFMIDFWD
99Kuchere.35Mavrias28Kojic16Sielis15Manrique41Bouchal.70Lobato22Diego10Matan19Rosa25Badji21Venetik.22Papageo.33Rosic28Batubin.27Macon25Sagal15Naor31Atanasov29Tupta8Perez19Pasas

Substitutes

Coach: Giannis Anastasiou

Substitutes

Coach: Gianluca Festa

PanetolikosPosition StrengthLarisa
6.82
Avg Rating
6.79
7.41Goalkeeper (1 v 1)6.91
0G 0A0G 0A
6.56Defender (3 v 4)6.76
1G 2A0G 1A
6.84Midfielder (6 v 4)6.89
9G 7A13G 6A
6.96Forward (1 v 2)6.58
2G 4A8G 0A
Panetolikos4-1-4-1
99GoalkeeperY. Kucherenko7.4
35DefenderC. Mavrias6.61G
16DefenderC. Sielis6.61A
15DefenderC. Manrique6.51A
28MidfielderL. Kojic
41MidfielderA. Bouchalakis7.11G1A
70MidfielderLenny Lobato6.41A
22MidfielderEsteban Diego
10MidfielderA. Matan7.05G3A
19MidfielderFarley Rosa6.93G2A
25ForwardY. Badji7.02G4A
Larisa4-4-1-1
21GoalkeeperT. Venetikidis6.9
22DefenderA. Papageorgiou6.61A
33DefenderL. Rosic6.9
28DefenderD. Batubinsika6.8
27DefenderY. Macon6.8
25MidfielderA. Sagal6.86G2A
15MidfielderG. Naor6.81A
31MidfielderJ. Atanasov7.11G1A
29MidfielderL. Tupta6.96G2A
8ForwardF. Perez6.73G
19ForwardG. Pasas6.55G

Match Summary

Panetolikos and Larisa drew 1:1. The match was played in Super League 1 2025. Goals were scored by L. Tupta 58′, J. Garcia 90′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Panetolikos had 69% possession while Larisa held 31%. Panetolikos had 17 shots (6 on target) compared to 7 (3 on target) for Larisa. Expected goals: Panetolikos 1.56 — Larisa 0.90. Panetolikos made 5 substitutions, Larisa made 5.

Rivalry since 2012

Panetolikos vs Larisa Head to Head Results

17 stretnutí
Panetolikos
7
wins
Drawn
5
Larisa
5
wins
Total goals
48 · 2.8/match
Both scored
10/17 · 59%
Over 2.5
11/17 · 65%

Recent Form

Panetolikos

DWLDLL

Larisa

DDDLDL

Match Prediction

Panetolikos

45%

Home win

 

45%

Draw

Larisa

10%

Away win

Model advice

Double chance : Panetolikos or draw

57%Form43%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
71%Head-to-head29%

Bookmaker Odds

13 bookmakers

Best price

Panetolikos

2.41

Pinnacle

Draw

3.15

Unibet

Larisa

3.30

Pinnacle

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Panetolikos5wins
4draws10 meetings
Larisa1wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (42%) — the odds may underestimate Panetolikos.

Market Summary

Margin: 12.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 47.6%Draw 32.3%Away 32.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.103.103.10
Max2.103.103.10
Over 2.5: 44.4%Under 2.5: 61.7%
Market favourite:Panetolikos · Slight favourite

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Panetolikos (48%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

PanetolikosHalf-time:00Larisa
17Shots7
6Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
12/05/26Panetolikos1–1Larisa2.10/3.10/3.10
08/04/26Larisa1–2Panetolikos2.25/3.25/3.10
07/02/26Larisa1–4Panetolikos1.68/3.40/5.25
08/11/25Panetolikos3–0Larisa2.20/3.25/3.25
03/04/21Larisa1–1Panetolikos1.97/3.28/3.97
28/02/21Larisa1–0Panetolikos2.44/3.13/3.05
07/12/20Panetolikos2–1Larisa2.50/2.84/3.26
15/06/20Panetolikos3–0Larisa1.99/3.33/3.83
22/01/20Larisa2–2Panetolikos1.76/3.42/4.86
19/10/19Panetolikos2–2Larisa2.17/3.13/3.66

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Panetolikos

W 127D 118L 207
Over 2.541
Goals scored431

Away Record: Larisa

W 116D 140L 182
Over 2.541
Goals scored423

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 17 May 2026