4 March 2023 at 16:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Fenerbahçe dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
4.7
Average goals per game
90%
Games with 3+ goals
60%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (22%) — the odds may underestimate Fenerbahçe.
Market Summary
Margin: 6.5%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 4.20 | 3.50 | 1.75 |
| Max | 4.48 | 3.86 | 1.83 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 21.7% | 25.2% | 53.1% |
| Public market | 21.7% | 26.1% | 52.2% |
Kayserispor vs Fenerbahçe — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/2625/26 | Kayserispor | 0–4 | Fenerbahce | 6.50/4.50/1.41 |
| 09/11/2525/26 | Fenerbahce | 4–2 | Kayserispor | 1.15/7.50/12.00 |
| 20/04/2524/25 | Fenerbahce | 3–3 | Kayserispor | 1.17/7.83/13.39 |
| 23/11/2424/25 | Kayserispor | 2–6 | Fenerbahce | 6.91/4.65/1.42 |
| 12/05/2423/24 | Fenerbahce | 3–0 | Kayserispor | 1.17/7.98/12.82 |
| 20/12/2323/24 | Kayserispor | 3–4 | Fenerbahce | 6.02/4.63/1.44 |
| 04/03/2322/23 | Kayserispor | 1–2 | Fenerbahce | 4.29/3.62/1.80 |
| 03/09/2222/23 | Fenerbahce | 2–0 | Kayserispor | 1.40/4.94/6.75 |
| 02/04/2221/22 | Kayserispor | 0–4 | Fenerbahce | 3.61/3.67/1.93 |
| 07/11/2121/22 | Fenerbahce | 2–2 | Kayserispor | 1.44/4.57/6.89 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Kayserispor
Away Record: Fenerbahçe
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Fenerbahçe defeated Kayserispor 2:1. The match was played in Süper Lig 2022. Goals were scored by E. Valencia 6′, F. Kadıoğlu 67′, A. Kocaman 90′. 1 yellow cards were shown. Kayserispor had 41% possession while Fenerbahçe held 59%. Kayserispor had 15 shots (3 on target) compared to 17 (4 on target) for Fenerbahçe. Kayserispor made 5 substitutions, Fenerbahçe made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Kayserispor and Fenerbahçe — 3 goals and 1 cards recorded during the match.
assist: Lincoln
assist: M. Zajc
assist: E. Başsan
Match Statistics
Kayserispor had 41% possession against Fenerbahçe's 59%. Kayserispor registered 15 shots (3 on target) while Fenerbahçe managed 17 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 10–7. Fouls committed: 13–11.
Lineups
Kayserispor lined up in a 4-1-4-1 formation under Ç. Atan, while Fenerbahçe deployed a 4-3-1-2 under Jorge Jesus.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Kayserispor is 6.51, compared to — for Fenerbahçe. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Kayserispor's highest-rated starter is B. Bayazıt (7.06), while Fenerbahçe's best-rated player is —.
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Kayserispor have contributed 2 goals and 5 assists this season, led by Miguel Cardoso (2G). Fenerbahçe's starters account for 0 goals and 0 assists, spearheaded by —. Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Kayserispor deploy 4 defenders rated 6.28 on average, against Fenerbahçe's 4-man backline averaging —. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Kayserispor field 5 midfielders averaging 6.55, versus Fenerbahçe's 4 rated —. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Kayserispor start 1 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 2 for Fenerbahçe averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 76% for Kayserispor and —% for Fenerbahçe. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Kayserispor's starters have collected 18 yellow cards this season, compared to 0 for Fenerbahçe. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Kayserispor's starting XI is 29.4 (youngest: A. Kocaman (22), oldest: L. Carole (34)), while Fenerbahçe average — (youngest: —, oldest: —). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Kayserispor's starters average 15 league appearances each, versus 0 for Fenerbahçe. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: Ç. Atan
Substitutes
Coach: Jorge Jesus
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Kayserispor have recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats. Fenerbahçe show 4 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.
Kayserispor
Fenerbahçe
Kayserispor vs Fenerbahçe Head to Head Results
Kayserispor and Fenerbahçe have met 2 times — Kayserispor won 0, Fenerbahçe won 2, with 0 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. Fenerbahçe leads the head-to-head with 2 victories from 2 meetings. A combined 10 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 5.00 per match (2 for the home side, 8 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 games (100%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–2 in 2025.
0
Kayserispor
0
Drawn
2
Fenerbahçe
Recent Meetings (2)
API data: 15 Mar 2026