16 May 2023 at 14:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.4
Average goals per game
60%
Games with 3+ goals
60%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (50%) — the odds may underestimate Kasımpaşa.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.4%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.80 |
| Max | 1.96 | 3.72 | 4.00 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 49.6% | 26.1% | 24.3% |
| Public market | 48.3% | 26.9% | 24.8% |
| Δ | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
Sivasspor vs Kasımpaşa — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/2524/25 | Kasımpaşa | 3–1 | Sivasspor | 1.81/3.78/3.95 |
| 24/11/2424/25 | Sivasspor | 0–0 | Kasımpaşa | 2.78/3.43/2.43 |
| 01/03/2423/24 | Kasımpaşa | 0–0 | Sivasspor | 2.08/3.68/3.36 |
| 22/10/2323/24 | Sivasspor | 0–1 | Kasımpaşa | 2.18/3.49/3.18 |
| 16/05/2322/23 | Sivasspor | 1–2 | Kasımpaşa | 1.94/3.57/3.87 |
| 24/12/2222/23 | Kasımpaşa | 1–2 | Sivasspor | 2.26/3.40/3.17 |
| 07/05/2221/22 | Sivasspor | 1–3 | Kasımpaşa | 2.29/3.44/2.89 |
| 18/12/2121/22 | Kasımpaşa | 1–3 | Sivasspor | 2.83/3.34/2.48 |
| 15/05/2120/21 | Sivasspor | 2–1 | Kasımpaşa | 1.62/3.84/5.12 |
| 25/01/2120/21 | Kasımpaşa | 2–0 | Sivasspor | 3.10/3.21/2.34 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Sivasspor
Away Record: Kasımpaşa
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Kasımpaşa defeated Sivasspor 2:1. The match was played in Süper Lig 2022. Goals were scored by M. Ben Ouanes 66′, M. Fall 84′, E. Gökay 90′. 4 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Sivasspor had 50% possession while Kasımpaşa held 50%. Sivasspor had 18 shots (2 on target) compared to 6 (3 on target) for Kasımpaşa. Sivasspor made 5 substitutions, Kasımpaşa made 5. VAR was involved: Penalty cancelled (Jordy Caicedo 36′).
Match Events
Key match events between Sivasspor and Kasımpaşa — 3 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.
assist: V. Eysseric
assist: H. Hajradinović
assist: Samuel Sáiz
Match Statistics
Sivasspor had 50% possession against Kasımpaşa's 50%. Sivasspor registered 18 shots (2 on target) while Kasımpaşa managed 6 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 6–1. Fouls committed: 11–11.
Lineups
Sivasspor lined up in a 4-3-3 formation under R. Çalımbay, while Kasımpaşa deployed a 4-2-3-1 under K. Özdeş.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Sivasspor is 7.02, compared to 6.60 for Kasımpaşa. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Sivasspor's highest-rated starter is C. Charisis (7.03), while Kasımpaşa's best-rated player is M. Ben Ouanes (6.76).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Sivasspor have contributed 2 goals and 5 assists this season, led by U. Çiftçi (1G). Kasımpaşa's starters account for 2 goals and 5 assists, spearheaded by M. Ben Ouanes (2G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Sivasspor deploy 4 defenders rated 7.00 on average, against Kasımpaşa's 4-man backline averaging 6.76. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Sivasspor field 3 midfielders averaging 7.03, versus Kasımpaşa's 5 rated 6.44. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Sivasspor start 3 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Kasımpaşa averaging —. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 83% for Sivasspor and 75% for Kasımpaşa. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Sivasspor's starters have collected 14 yellow cards this season, compared to 7 for Kasımpaşa. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Sivasspor's starting XI is 32.0 (youngest: C. Charisis (31), oldest: U. Çiftçi (33)), while Kasımpaşa average 32.5 (youngest: M. Ben Ouanes (31), oldest: M. Fall (34)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Sivasspor's starters average 25 league appearances each, versus 23 for Kasımpaşa. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: R. Çalımbay
Substitutes
Coach: K. Özdeş
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Sivasspor have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats. Kasımpaşa show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.
Sivasspor
Kasımpaşa
API data: 15 Mar 2026