27 April 2024 at 13:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.5
Average goals per game
33%
Games with 3+ goals
33%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (33%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (44%) — the odds may underestimate Samsunspor.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.1%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Max | 2.25 | 3.88 | 3.20 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 43.8% | 25.0% | 31.2% |
| Public market | 42.3% | 28.0% | 29.7% |
| Δ | 1.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/2625/26 | Kasımpaşa | 0–1 | Samsunspor | 3.10/3.10/2.40 |
| 17/09/2525/26 | Samsunspor | 0–0 | Kasımpaşa | 1.77/3.74/4.41 |
| 29/03/2524/25 | Samsunspor | 0–2 | Kasımpaşa | 1.96/3.48/3.83 |
| 26/10/2424/25 | Kasımpaşa | 1–4 | Samsunspor | 2.63/3.29/2.65 |
| 27/04/2423/24 | Kasımpaşa | 1–0 | Samsunspor | 2.20/3.66/3.10 |
| 09/12/2323/24 | Samsunspor | 4–2 | Kasımpaşa | 2.07/3.64/3.24 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Kasımpaşa
Away Record: Samsunspor
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Kasımpaşa defeated Samsunspor 1:0. The match was played in Süper Lig 2023. Goals were scored by A. Kara 3′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Kasımpaşa had 38% possession while Samsunspor held 62%. Kasımpaşa had 13 shots (2 on target) compared to 16 (3 on target) for Samsunspor. Expected goals: Kasımpaşa 1.53 — Samsunspor 0.86. Kasımpaşa made 3 substitutions, Samsunspor made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Kasımpaşa and Samsunspor — 1 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.
assist: H. Hajradinović
Match Statistics
Kasımpaşa had 38% possession against Samsunspor's 62%. Kasımpaşa registered 13 shots (2 on target) while Samsunspor managed 16 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 4–8. Fouls committed: 15–17.
Lineups
Kasımpaşa lined up in a 4-1-4-1 formation under S. Uğurlu, while Samsunspor deployed a 4-2-3-1 under M. Gisdol.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Kasımpaşa is 6.81, compared to 6.83 for Samsunspor. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Kasımpaşa's highest-rated starter is H. Hajradinović (7.17), while Samsunspor's best-rated player is R. van Drongelen (7.06).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Kasımpaşa have contributed 8 goals and 6 assists this season, led by Cláudio Winck (3G). Samsunspor's starters account for 12 goals and 9 assists, spearheaded by C. Holse (8G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Kasımpaşa deploy 4 defenders rated 6.78 on average, against Samsunspor's 4-man backline averaging 6.92. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Kasımpaşa field 5 midfielders averaging 6.80, versus Samsunspor's 5 rated 6.83. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Kasımpaşa start 1 forward(s) averaging —, compared to 1 for Samsunspor averaging 6.61. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 71% for Kasımpaşa and 77% for Samsunspor. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Kasımpaşa's starters have collected 18 yellow cards this season, compared to 19 for Samsunspor. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Kasımpaşa's starting XI is 32.0 (youngest: Cláudio Winck (31), oldest: M. Fall (34)), while Samsunspor average 29.2 (youngest: C. Holse (26), oldest: Z. Yavru (34)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Kasımpaşa's starters average 21 league appearances each, versus 21 for Samsunspor. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: S. Uğurlu
Substitutes
Coach: M. Gisdol
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Kasımpaşa have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats. Samsunspor show 4 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.
Kasımpaşa
Samsunspor
Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor Head to Head Results
Kasımpaşa and Samsunspor have met 2 times — Kasımpaşa won 0, Samsunspor won 1, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. Samsunspor leads the head-to-head with 1 victories from 2 meetings. A combined 1 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 0.50 per match (0 for the home side, 1 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 0 matches (0%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 games (0%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 0–1 in 2026.
0
Kasımpaşa
1
Drawn
1
Samsunspor
Recent Meetings (2)
API data: 15 Mar 2026