4 May 2024 at 16:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.1
Average goals per game
75%
Games with 3+ goals
75%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (35%) — the odds may underestimate Samsunspor.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.4%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 2.62 | 3.25 | 2.45 |
| Max | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.72 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 34.6% | 29.8% | 35.6% |
| Public market | 35.2% | 28.8% | 36.1% |
| Δ | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/2625/26 | Samsunspor | 0–3 | Trabzonspor | 2.50/3.25/2.75 |
| 31/08/2525/26 | Trabzonspor | 1–1 | Samsunspor | 1.73/3.75/4.52 |
| 25/05/2524/25 | Trabzonspor | 2–2 | Samsunspor | 2.29/3.54/2.85 |
| 04/01/2524/25 | Samsunspor | 2–1 | Trabzonspor | 2.14/3.54/3.16 |
| 04/05/2423/24 | Samsunspor | 3–1 | Trabzonspor | 2.71/3.35/2.60 |
| 11/01/2423/24 | Trabzonspor | 2–1 | Samsunspor | 1.68/3.82/4.77 |
| 21/09/1111/12 | Samsunspor | 1–1 | Trabzonspor | 3.61/3.30/1.99 |
| 15/01/1211/12 | Trabzonspor | 4–0 | Samsunspor | 1.33/4.63/8.93 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Samsunspor
Away Record: Trabzonspor
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Samsunspor defeated Trabzonspor 3:1. The match was played in Süper Lig 2023. Goals were scored by T. Antalyalı 14′ (pen.), M. Mouandilmadji 28′, E. Bardhi 32′, Joaquín Fernández 36′ (o.g.). 7 yellow cards were shown. Samsunspor had 35% possession while Trabzonspor held 65%. Samsunspor had 8 shots (4 on target) compared to 6 (3 on target) for Trabzonspor. Expected goals: Samsunspor 2.09 — Trabzonspor 0.31. Samsunspor made 5 substitutions, Trabzonspor made 5.
Match Events
Key match events between Samsunspor and Trabzonspor — 4 goals and 7 cards recorded during the match.
Penalty
Own Goal
Match Statistics
Samsunspor had 35% possession against Trabzonspor's 65%. Samsunspor registered 8 shots (4 on target) while Trabzonspor managed 6 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 3–2. Fouls committed: 21–12.
Lineups
Samsunspor lined up in a 4-2-3-1 formation under M. Gisdol, while Trabzonspor deployed a 4-2-3-1 under A. Avcı.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Samsunspor is 6.83, compared to 6.74 for Trabzonspor. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Samsunspor's highest-rated starter is R. van Drongelen (7.06), while Trabzonspor's best-rated player is U. Çakır (7.70).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Samsunspor have contributed 12 goals and 9 assists this season, led by C. Holse (8G). Trabzonspor's starters account for 22 goals and 2 assists, spearheaded by P. Onuachu (22G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Samsunspor deploy 4 defenders rated 6.92 on average, against Trabzonspor's 4-man backline averaging 6.23. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Samsunspor field 5 midfielders averaging 6.83, versus Trabzonspor's 5 rated 6.30. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Samsunspor start 1 forward(s) averaging 6.61, compared to 1 for Trabzonspor averaging 7.24. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 77% for Samsunspor and 83% for Trabzonspor. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Samsunspor's starters have collected 19 yellow cards this season, compared to 5 for Trabzonspor. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Samsunspor's starting XI is 29.2 (youngest: C. Holse (26), oldest: Z. Yavru (34)), while Trabzonspor average 27.4 (youngest: E. Elmalı (25), oldest: P. Onuachu (31)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Samsunspor's starters average 21 league appearances each, versus 8 for Trabzonspor. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: M. Gisdol
Substitutes
Coach: A. Avcı
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Samsunspor have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats. Trabzonspor show 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 outings.
Samsunspor
Trabzonspor
Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor Head to Head Results
Samsunspor and Trabzonspor have met 2 times — Samsunspor won 0, Trabzonspor won 1, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. Trabzonspor leads the head-to-head with 1 victories from 2 meetings. A combined 5 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.50 per match (1 for the home side, 4 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 0–3 in 2026.
0
Samsunspor
1
Drawn
1
Trabzonspor
Recent Meetings (2)
API data: 15 Mar 2026