5 May 2024 at 16:00
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Galatasaray dominatesHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
3.7
Average goals per game
70%
Games with 3+ goals
80%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (84%) — the odds may underestimate Sivasspor.
Market Summary
Margin: 5.2%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.11 | 8.50 | 13.00 |
| Max | 1.17 | 9.26 | 17.00 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 83.8% | 10.4% | 5.8% |
| Public market | 81.5% | 11.2% | 7.3% |
| Δ | 2.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% |
Galatasaray vs Sivasspor — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result matched market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/2524/25 | Galatasaray | 4–1 | Sivasspor | 1.18/7.36/10.97 |
| 08/12/2424/25 | Sivasspor | 2–3 | Galatasaray | 5.51/5.13/1.42 |
| 05/05/2423/24 | Galatasaray | 6–1 | Sivasspor | 1.14/8.92/15.57 |
| 11/01/2423/24 | Sivasspor | 1–1 | Galatasaray | 6.47/4.58/1.44 |
| 20/05/2322/23 | Galatasaray | 2–0 | Sivasspor | 1.27/5.78/8.81 |
| 29/12/2222/23 | Sivasspor | 1–2 | Galatasaray | 4.61/3.81/1.74 |
| 01/05/2221/22 | Galatasaray | 2–3 | Sivasspor | 1.87/3.54/3.99 |
| 13/12/2121/22 | Sivasspor | 1–0 | Galatasaray | 2.94/3.25/2.43 |
| 07/03/2120/21 | Galatasaray | 2–2 | Sivasspor | 1.67/3.75/5.29 |
| 08/11/2020/21 | Sivasspor | 1–2 | Galatasaray | 2.72/3.43/2.45 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: Galatasaray
Away Record: Sivasspor
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Galatasaray defeated Sivasspor 6:1. The match was played in Süper Lig 2023. Goals were scored by H. Ziyech 11′, D. Mertens 38′, C. Osmanpaşa 54′, M. Icardi 59′, H. Ziyech 60′, D. Mertens 73′, M. Icardi 85′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Galatasaray had 69% possession while Sivasspor held 31%. Galatasaray had 23 shots (8 on target) compared to 9 (3 on target) for Sivasspor. Expected goals: Galatasaray 2.27 — Sivasspor 0.96. Galatasaray made 5 substitutions, Sivasspor made 4. VAR was involved: Goal cancelled (Rey Manaj 70′).
Match Events
Key match events between Galatasaray and Sivasspor — 7 goals and 3 cards recorded during the match.
assist: B. Yılmaz
assist: B. Yılmaz
assist: R. Manaj
assist: D. Mertens
assist: M. Icardi
assist: K. Aktürkoğlu
Match Statistics
Galatasaray had 69% possession against Sivasspor's 31%. Galatasaray registered 23 shots (8 on target) while Sivasspor managed 9 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 5–1. Fouls committed: 13–13.
Lineups
Galatasaray lined up in a 4-2-3-1 formation under O. Buruk, while Sivasspor deployed a 5-4-1 under B. Uygun.
Squad Ratings
The overall squad rating for Galatasaray is 6.93, compared to 7.04 for Sivasspor. This metric is derived from each player's average match rating across all league appearances this season — anything above 7.00 is considered strong, while below 6.50 signals inconsistency. Galatasaray's highest-rated starter is A. Bardakcı (7.18), while Sivasspor's best-rated player is A. Vural (7.23).
Attacking Output
The starting XI of Galatasaray have contributed 23 goals and 15 assists this season, led by M. Icardi (14G). Sivasspor's starters account for 7 goals and 10 assists, spearheaded by R. Manaj (4G). Goals reflect clinical finishing and chance creation, while assists highlight the ability to unlock defences through through-balls, crosses, and set pieces.
Defensive Solidity
Galatasaray deploy 4 defenders rated 6.85 on average, against Sivasspor's 5-man backline averaging 6.94. Higher defensive ratings suggest better positional awareness, fewer individual errors, and a greater likelihood of keeping clean sheets. The rating accounts for tackles won, interceptions, aerial duels, and blocks throughout the season.
Midfield Control
Galatasaray field 5 midfielders averaging 7.07, versus Sivasspor's 4 rated 7.03. Midfield ratings reflect passing accuracy, interceptions, key passes, and overall control of possession — the team that dominates midfield typically dictates the tempo and territory of the match.
Forward Threat
Galatasaray start 1 forward(s) averaging 6.87, compared to 1 for Sivasspor averaging 7.15. Forward ratings capture shot accuracy, movement off the ball, dribbling success, and involvement in build-up play — they indicate who carries the greater goal threat on the day.
Passing & Build-Up
Passing accuracy averages 85% for Galatasaray and 79% for Sivasspor. Higher passing accuracy generally indicates a possession-based style with patient build-up through the thirds, while lower figures may suggest a more direct, counter-attacking approach with long balls and quick transitions.
Discipline
Galatasaray's starters have collected 16 yellow cards this season, compared to 30 for Sivasspor. Yellow cards reflect how aggressively a team presses and tackles — a high count may indicate a physical, high-pressing style but also risks suspensions and late free-kicks in dangerous areas.
Age & Experience
The average age of Galatasaray's starting XI is 29.2 (youngest: B. Yılmaz (25), oldest: M. Icardi (32)), while Sivasspor average 31.8 (youngest: R. Manaj (28), oldest: A. Vural (35)). Younger squads typically offer pace, energy, and pressing intensity, while experienced lineups bring composure, game management, and the ability to handle high-pressure moments.
Squad Depth
Galatasaray's starters average 22 league appearances each, versus 21 for Sivasspor. High appearance counts indicate an established, well-drilled unit that the manager trusts week in and week out. Lower figures may suggest rotation, injuries, or emerging players still earning their place in the team.
Substitutes
Coach: O. Buruk
Substitutes
Coach: B. Uygun
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, Galatasaray have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats. Sivasspor show 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.
Galatasaray
Sivasspor
API data: 15 Mar 2026