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Poisson Distribution

A probability model widely used to predict the number of goals in a football match based on average scoring rates.

Definition

A probability model widely used to predict the number of goals in a football match based on average scoring rates.

Example

Using a Poisson model with average goals of 1.5 and 1.0, the probability of a 0-0 draw is approximately 22%.

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Poisson Distribution — Betting Glossary | Betmana - Sports Betting