Goalscorer betting is one of the most popular football markets, transforming every match into a player-level betting opportunity. Understanding the different market types and their quirks is essential for finding value.
First Goalscorer (FGS)
The first goalscorer market asks you to predict which player will score the opening goal of the match. It is the highest-profile goalscorer market with the biggest odds — and the widest margins.
Key factors for FGS selection:
- Penalty takers have an inherent advantage — they get additional scoring opportunities from the spot
- Set-piece specialists who attack corners and free kicks score early goals disproportionately
- Players who start strongly — some strikers are known for fast starts, scoring within the first 15 minutes regularly
A typical FGS price for a prolific striker might be 5.00-7.00, while a midfielder could be 10.00-15.00.
Anytime Goalscorer (AGS)
The anytime goalscorer market is the most popular and arguably the most bettor-friendly. Your selection needs to score at least one goal during the 90 minutes. Prices are shorter than FGS but the probability of winning is substantially higher.
Key factors for AGS selection:
- xG (expected goals) per 90 minutes — the best predictor of scoring frequency
- Minutes played — a player who regularly plays 90 minutes has more opportunities than a substitute
- Opponent defensive record — check goals conceded and xG against
- Home/away scoring splits — some players score significantly more at home
Last Goalscorer
The last goalscorer market is the hardest to predict because it depends not just on who scores but on the timing and pattern of goals. A striker who scores in the 60th minute only counts if no one scores after them.
This market typically offers similar odds to FGS but with even less predictability. Substitutes who come on late can score last goals, making selection more random.
Hat-Trick Betting
Hat-trick markets offer eye-catching odds — typically 20.00-50.00 for top strikers. The probability is genuinely low: even the most prolific Premier League scorers manage only 1-3 hat-tricks per season across 38 games.
Hat-trick bets are high-variance entertainment rather than a sustainable strategy. If you bet them, focus on elite scorers facing weak opposition in matches with high expected goal totals.
Goalscorer Doubles and Combos
Many bookmakers allow you to combine goalscorer selections with match result or other markets in same-game parlays. A popular combination is "Player X anytime scorer + Team Y to win" — which correlates naturally since a team is more likely to win if their player scores.
Be aware that bookmakers adjust odds on correlated selections, so the combined price may not offer as much value as it appears.