The Labouchere — also called the cancellation system — uses a custom number sequence to determine stakes. It lets you set a precise profit target, but reaching it depends entirely on your win rate, not the system itself.
How It Works
- Write a sequence of numbers that sum to your target profit (e.g. 1-2-3-4-5 = £15 target)
- Your stake = first number + last number (1 + 5 = £6)
- Win: Cross off both outer numbers. New sequence: 2-3-4. Next stake: 2 + 4 = £6
- Loss: Add the lost amount to the end. New sequence: 1-2-3-4-5-6. Next stake: 1 + 6 = £7
- Continue until all numbers are crossed off (profit target achieved) or bankroll runs out
Worked Example
Starting sequence: 1-2-3-4-5 (target profit: £15)
| Bet | Sequence | Stake | Result | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1-2-3-4-5 | £6 | Win | +£6 |
| 2 | 2-3-4 | £6 | Loss | £0 |
| 3 | 2-3-4-6 | £8 | Win | +£8 |
| 4 | 3-4 | £7 | Win | +£15 |
Sequence complete. Target profit of £15 achieved.
The Problem with Losing Streaks
Losses extend the sequence, and each extension increases future stakes. After several losses, the sequence can grow dramatically:
Starting: 1-2-3-4-5 After 4 consecutive losses: 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-8-13
The next stake is now £14 (1 + 13), and the sequence requires many more wins to complete. The system can spiral beyond your bankroll during extended losing runs.
Why It Fails
The Labouchere is elegant in design but shares the same mathematical limitation as every progressive system: it cannot change the expected value of your bets. If each bet has negative EV (due to the bookmaker's margin), the Labouchere merely rearranges when you realise your profits and losses.
Over thousands of attempts, the number of incomplete sequences (bankroll exhaustion before completion) produces losses that exactly offset the profits from completed sequences.