Arbitrage betting — or arbing — guarantees profit by exploiting price differences between bookmakers. When one bookmaker offers higher odds on one outcome than another offers on the opposite outcome, you can back both sides and profit no matter what happens.
The Mathematics of Arbitrage
An arb exists when the sum of the reciprocals of the best available odds across all outcomes is less than 1.
Formula: (1 ÷ Odds A) + (1 ÷ Odds B) < 1
Example: Tennis match between Player A and Player B
- Bookmaker 1: Player A at 2.15
- Bookmaker 2: Player B at 2.10
Arb calculation: (1 ÷ 2.15) + (1 ÷ 2.10) = 0.4651 + 0.4762 = 0.9413
Since 0.9413 < 1, an arb exists with a margin of 5.87%.
Calculating Stakes
To distribute stakes correctly across outcomes:
Stake on outcome = (Total investment × (1 ÷ odds for that outcome)) ÷ sum of reciprocals
Using our example with £100 total:
- Stake on Player A: (£100 × 0.4651) ÷ 0.9413 = £49.41
- Stake on Player B: (£100 × 0.4762) ÷ 0.9413 = £50.59
Returns:
- Player A wins: £49.41 × 2.15 = £106.23 (profit £6.23)
- Player B wins: £50.59 × 2.10 = £106.24 (profit £6.24)
Practical Steps
- Sign up with 10+ bookmakers and fund each account
- Use arb-finding software to identify opportunities
- Act quickly — place the less liquid bet first (smaller bookmaker)
- Calculate exact stakes using an arb calculator
- Place all bets within seconds of each other
- Record every bet for tracking and tax purposes
Why Bookmakers Restrict Arbers
Bookmakers lose money on every arb. Their detection methods include monitoring for: consistent winning patterns, rapid bet placement after odds changes, stakes that match arb calculations precisely, and accounts that only bet when arb opportunities exist.
Is Arbitrage Betting Worth It?
Arbing offers genuine risk-free profit, but the practical challenges are significant. You need substantial capital, many bookmaker accounts, specialist software, and rapid execution. The profit margins are slim (1-3%) and bookmakers will eventually restrict your accounts. It works best as a short-term income source while accounts remain active.