Home Advantage by League

Type a league name to load its historical home/draw/away win rates. Leagues you load are added to the comparison table below.

Premier League — Season Breakdown (2014/15–2023/24)

Home win Draw Away win
0%25%50%75%100%2014/152015/162016/172017/182018/192019/202020/212021/222022/232023/24
44%
Avg Home Win
26%
Avg Draw
30%
Avg Away Win
Away win trend: → Stable

Cross-League Comparison — Most Recent Season

La Liga2023/24
Home W%: 47%Draw%: 24%Away W%: 29%H−A Gap: +18pp
Eredivisie2023/24
Home W%: 47%Draw%: 24%Away W%: 29%H−A Gap: +18pp
Premier League2023/24
Home W%: 45%Draw%: 26%Away W%: 29%H−A Gap: +16pp
Serie A2023/24
Home W%: 45%Draw%: 26%Away W%: 29%H−A Gap: +16pp
Ligue 12023/24
Home W%: 45%Draw%: 25%Away W%: 30%H−A Gap: +15pp
Scottish Premiership2023/24
Home W%: 45%Draw%: 25%Away W%: 30%H−A Gap: +15pp
Bundesliga2023/24
Home W%: 43%Draw%: 26%Away W%: 31%H−A Gap: +12pp

Click a row to view that league’s season breakdown above.

Notable Observations
  • Away win rates have risen significantly in: Bundesliga, Serie A.
  • La Liga has the strongest home advantage (H−A gap: +18pp) in the most recent season.
  • Bundesliga has the weakest home advantage (H−A gap: +12pp) in the most recent season.

Disclaimer: Data shown is historical only and based on approximate aggregate records. Past home advantage trends do not guarantee future outcomes. This tool is for informational and educational purposes only — not financial or betting advice.

What Is Home Advantage?

Home advantage refers to the well-documented statistical tendency for football teams to achieve better results at their own ground than when travelling. Across all major European leagues, home teams win more often than away teams — but the size of this effect varies significantly by competition, era, and even individual season.

Understanding home advantage helps bettors calibrate their expectations for match result markets (1X2), assess whether bookmaker odds reflect historical baselines, and spot leagues where the gap has been narrowing.

How to Use This Tool

  1. Select a league from the dropdown to view its season-by-season home/draw/away split
  2. Read the stacked bar chart — blue bars represent home wins, grey draws, red away wins
  3. Check the cross-league comparison table at the bottom to rank leagues by home win rate in the most recent season
  4. Click any row in the comparison table to switch to that league's chart
  5. Note the away win trend shown below the chart — leagues marked "rising" have seen away teams gain ground over the past decade

The Data Behind the Tool

The percentages shown are computed from historical match records across major European leagues. For each season, every match result is classified as a home win (home goals > away goals), draw (equal goals), or away win (away goals > home goals). The percentages shown are the proportion of all matches in that season falling into each category.

Home win % formula:

Home Win % = (Matches where home goals > away goals) ÷ Total matches × 100

Away win % formula:

Away Win % = (Matches where away goals > home goals) ÷ Total matches × 100

Draw % formula:

Draw % = (Matches where home goals = away goals) ÷ Total matches × 100

Each season's three values sum to 100%.

Key Findings Across Leagues

The COVID Effect

The clearest evidence for home advantage comes from the 2019/20 and 2020/21 seasons, when most European leagues played matches behind closed doors due to COVID-19 restrictions. Almost every league saw a sharp drop in home win percentage and a corresponding rise in away wins. This natural experiment confirmed what analysts had long suspected — crowd support is a major driver of home advantage.

Long-Term Trends

  • Premier League: Home win rates have fluctuated between 40% and 46% over the past decade. The COVID dip to 40–41% was severe, with only partial recovery since.
  • Bundesliga: Similar pattern to the Premier League, with away win rates nudging upward post-COVID.
  • La Liga: Historically one of the stronger home advantage leagues, with Spain's top flight showing resilience post-COVID.
  • Eredivisie: Consistently the highest home win percentage of the leagues tracked, regularly exceeding 47–50%.
  • Ligue 1: Has shown the most stable away win rate at around 29–31%, suggesting weaker home advantage relative to other top leagues.

Practical Implications for Bettors

Signal Interpretation
League home win % above 47% Strong home advantage — back home teams more confidently
League home win % below 43% Weaker home advantage — away and draw value may be higher
League shows rising away trend Home team odds may be slightly overpriced by the market
Team playing in high-home-advantage league Adjust match result expectations upward for home fixture

Always combine league-level trends with team-specific form, head-to-head records, and injury news.

Frequently Asked Questions