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SC Paderborn 07 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth

2 February 2025 at 12:30Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn

Match Summary

SpVgg Greuther Fürth defeated SC Paderborn 07 2:1. The match was played in 2. Bundesliga 2024.

Rivalry since 2011

SC Paderborn 07 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Head to Head Results· 18

SC Paderborn 07 and SpVgg Greuther Fürth have met 18 times — SC Paderborn 07 won 4, SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 9, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. SpVgg Greuther Fürth leads the head-to-head with 9 victories from 18 meetings. A combined 62 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.44 per match (24 for the home side, 38 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 10 matches (56%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 games (67%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. SC Paderborn 07 are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–4 in 2021.

Total goals
62 · 3.4/match
Both scored
10/18 · 56%
Over 2.5
12/18 · 67%

Recent Meetings

Highest-scoring game: 24 v 2021

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 1 matches, SC Paderborn 07 have recorded 1 win, 0 draws and 0 defeats. SpVgg Greuther Fürth show 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 3 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.2

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

70%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (55%) — the odds may underestimate SpVgg Greuther Fürth.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

5 Apr 202625/264.00/3.75/1.85
Match Details
2 Nov 202525/261.40/4.75/7.00
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2 Feb 202524/251.74/4.01/4.25
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24 Aug 202424/252.51/3.74/2.52
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21 Jan 202423/242.21/3.74/2.95
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30 Jul 202323/242.43/3.52/2.70
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2 Apr 202322/232.15/3.51/3.28
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18 Sept 202222/233.18/3.95/2.06
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16 May 202120/213.32/3.76/2.02
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15 Jan 202120/212.11/3.55/3.33
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Market Summary

Margin: 6.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 57.6%Draw 24.9%Away 23.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.733.804.20
Max1.754.134.35
Over 2.5: 63.7%Under 2.5: 42.6%
Market favourite:SC Paderborn 07 · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market55.0%23.1%21.9%
Public market54.5%23.0%22.5%

SC Paderborn 07 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Result vs. Market: SC Paderborn 07 (58%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

SC Paderborn 07Half-time:01SpVgg Greuther Fürth
16Shots10
6Shots on target6

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: SC Paderborn 07

W 210D 148L 185
Over 2.555
Goals scored799

Away Record: SpVgg Greuther Fürth

W 360D 264L 293
Over 2.552
Goals scored1338

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026