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Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld

10 August 2025 at 12:30Holstein-Stadion, Kiel

Match Summary

Arminia Bielefeld defeated Holstein Kiel 2:0. The match was played in 2. Bundesliga 2025.

Rivalry since 2014

Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld Head to Head Results· 12

Holstein Kiel and Arminia Bielefeld have met 12 times — Holstein Kiel won 2, Arminia Bielefeld won 7, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2014. Arminia Bielefeld leads the head-to-head with 7 victories from 12 meetings. A combined 38 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.17 per match (16 for the home side, 22 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 10 matches (83%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 games (75%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Arminia Bielefeld are currently unbeaten in the last 9 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–2 in 2022.

Total goals
38 · 3.2/match
Both scored
10/12 · 83%
Over 2.5
9/12 · 75%

Recent Meetings

14/01/23Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 42 v 2022

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Holstein Kiel have recorded 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. Arminia Bielefeld show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.2

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

80%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Arminia Bielefeld dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (43%) — the odds may underestimate Arminia Bielefeld.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

23 Jan 202625/262.15/3.25/3.50
Match Details
10 Aug 202525/262.18/3.66/3.08
Match Details
2 Apr 202322/232.11/3.64/3.32
Match Details
17 Sept 202222/232.22/3.60/3.07
Match Details
30 May 202019/202.77/3.42/2.44
Match Details
3 Nov 201919/201.84/3.92/3.87
Match Details
19 May 201918/192.24/3.78/2.88
Match Details
14 Dec 201818/191.68/3.99/4.75
Match Details
21/10/1717/181.60/4.12/5.33
4 Jan 201817/182.79/3.45/2.46

Market Summary

Margin: 5.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 45.9%Draw 27.4%Away 32.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.153.603.06
Max2.213.713.10
Over 2.5: 61.7%Under 2.5: 44.4%
Market favourite:Holstein Kiel · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market43.1%25.7%31.2%
Public market43.7%26.1%30.3%

Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Arminia Bielefeld
Result vs. Market: Holstein Kiel (46%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Holstein KielHalf-time:02Arminia Bielefeld
15Shots12
7Shots on target4

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Holstein Kiel

W 112D 74L 85
Over 2.562
Goals scored453

Away Record: Arminia Bielefeld

W 187D 147L 175
Over 2.553
Goals scored757

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026