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Arminia Bielefeld vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth

19 September 2025 at 17:30SchücoArena, Bielefeld
Referee: Tobias Welz

Match Summary

SpVgg Greuther Fürth defeated Arminia Bielefeld 3:1. The match was played in 2. Bundesliga 2025.

Rivalry since 2013

Arminia Bielefeld vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Head to Head Results· 17

Arminia Bielefeld and SpVgg Greuther Fürth have met 17 times — Arminia Bielefeld won 4, SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 5, with 8 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2013. SpVgg Greuther Fürth leads the head-to-head with 5 victories from 17 meetings. A combined 52 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.06 per match (27 for the home side, 25 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 13 matches (76%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 games (59%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. SpVgg Greuther Fürth are currently unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–4 in 2020.

Total goals
52 · 3.1/match
Both scored
13/17 · 76%
Over 2.5
10/17 · 59%

Recent Meetings

16/01/22Bundesliga
Match Details
21/08/21Bundesliga
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 24 v 2020

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Arminia Bielefeld have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. SpVgg Greuther Fürth show 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 3 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.2

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

80%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
4
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (53%) — the odds may underestimate SpVgg Greuther Fürth.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

20 Feb 202625/263.80/3.75/1.90
Match Details
19 Sept 202525/261.79/3.70/4.52
Match Details
5 May 202322/232.42/3.43/2.84
Match Details
28 Oct 202222/232.07/3.57/3.48
Match Details
15 Feb 202019/203.40/3.31/2.17
Match Details
31 Aug 201919/201.69/3.87/4.78
Match Details
31 Mar 201918/192.89/3.12/2.57
Match Details
20 Oct 201818/192.04/3.42/3.66
Match Details
8 Jun 201717/182.29/3.17/3.32
24/01/1817/182.10/3.38/3.49

Market Summary

Margin: 5.2%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 56.0%Draw 27.0%Away 22.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.753.604.50
Max1.823.804.53
Over 2.5: 66.7%Under 2.5: 40.0%
Market favourite:Arminia Bielefeld · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market53.2%25.5%21.4%
Public market53.3%25.9%20.7%

Arminia Bielefeld vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Result vs. Market: Arminia Bielefeld (56%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Arminia BielefeldHalf-time:01SpVgg Greuther Fürth
15Shots11
5Shots on target7

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Arminia Bielefeld

W 187D 147L 175
Over 2.553
Goals scored757

Away Record: SpVgg Greuther Fürth

W 360D 264L 293
Over 2.552
Goals scored1338

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026