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2. BundesligaSeason 2025

Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel

17 May 2026 at 14:30Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, Dresden
Referee: M. P. Eckermann

Match Summary

Dynamo Dresden defeated Holstein Kiel 2:1. The match was played in 2. Bundesliga 2025. Goals were scored by V. Vermeij 14′, V. Vermeij 36′, P. Harres 81′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Dynamo Dresden had 41% possession while Holstein Kiel held 59%. Dynamo Dresden had 10 shots (2 on target) compared to 9 (3 on target) for Holstein Kiel. Expected goals: Dynamo Dresden 0.91 — Holstein Kiel 1.01. Dynamo Dresden made 5 substitutions, Holstein Kiel made 4. VAR was involved: Penalty confirmed (U. Tohumcu 45′).

Match Events

Key match events between Dynamo Dresden and Holstein Kiel — 3 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
R. Wagner45+3′
45+5′M. Ivezić
VAR
45+2′Penalty confirmed
Half Time
46′
A. KaprálikS. Schwab
A. RossipalK. Faber
69′
J. ÇekaJ. Lemmer
69′
N. HauptmannS. Kutschke
74′
V. VermeijTony Menzel
74′
74′
74′
M. IvezićLeon Parduzi
81′
P. Harres

assist: Leon Parduzi

82′
D. ZecF. Roslyng
Kofi Jeremy AmoakoC. Daferner
89′
90+1′P. Harres
Full Time

Match Statistics

Dynamo Dresden had 41% possession against Holstein Kiel's 59%. Dynamo Dresden registered 10 shots (2 on target) while Holstein Kiel managed 9 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 3–9. Fouls committed: 14–17.

Shots on Goal
2
3
Shots Off Goal
5
3
Total Shots
10
9
Blocked Shots
3
3
Shots inside the Box
4
3
Shots outside the Box
6
6
Fouls
14
17
Corner Kicks
3
9
Offsides
4
0
Ball Possession
41%
59%
Yellow Cards
2
3
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
0
Total Passes
347
509
Accurate Passes
271
440
Pass Accuracy
78%
86%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
1.01
Goals Prevented (xGP)
-1.65
-1.65

Rivalry since 2014

Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel Head to Head Results· 13

Dynamo Dresden and Holstein Kiel have met 13 times — Dynamo Dresden won 1, Holstein Kiel won 10, with 2 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2014. Holstein Kiel leads the head-to-head with 10 victories from 13 meetings. A combined 30 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.31 per match (6 for the home side, 24 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 5 matches (38%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 games (62%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Holstein Kiel are currently unbeaten in the last 10 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 0–4 in 2018.

Drawn
2
·
Total goals
30 · 2.3/match
Both scored
5/13 · 38%
Over 2.5
8/13 · 62%

Recent Meetings

20/12/252. Bundesliga
Match Details
16/04/222. Bundesliga
Match Details
05/11/212. Bundesliga
Match Details
18/06/202. Bundesliga
Match Details
30/11/192. Bundesliga
Match Details
12/05/192. Bundesliga
Match Details
09/12/182. Bundesliga
Match Details
14/04/182. Bundesliga
Match Details
05/11/172. Bundesliga
Match Details
09/04/163. Liga
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 04 v 2018

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Dynamo Dresden have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats. Holstein Kiel show 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.6

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Holstein Kiel dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (55%) — the odds may underestimate Holstein Kiel.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

17 May 202625/261.67/4.10/4.20
Match Details
20 Dec 202525/261.91/3.75/3.75
Match Details
16 Apr 202221/222.46/3.38/2.80
Match Details
5 Nov 202121/221.89/3.56/4.04
Match Details
18 Jun 202019/201.74/3.90/4.43
Match Details
30 Nov 201919/203.37/3.63/2.08
Match Details
12 May 201918/191.62/4.14/5.04
Match Details
9 Dec 201818/192.51/3.42/2.73
Match Details
11 May 201717/181.63/4.09/4.99
14/04/1817/182.71/3.41/2.54

Market Summary

Margin: 8.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 59.9%Draw 24.4%Away 23.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.674.104.20
Max1.674.104.20
Over 2.5: 65.4%Under 2.5: 41.7%
Market favourite:Dynamo Dresden · Moderate favourite

Result vs. Market

Dynamo Dresden
Result vs. Market: Dynamo Dresden (60%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Dynamo DresdenHalf-time:20Holstein Kiel
10Shots9
2Shots on target3

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Dynamo Dresden

W 113D 103L 158
Over 2.553
Goals scored463

Away Record: Holstein Kiel

W 112D 74L 86
Over 2.562
Goals scored454

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 Jun 2026