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Union St Gilloise vs Kv Mechelen

Stade Joseph Mariën, Brussels19 March 2023 at 17:30

Match Summary

Union St. Gilloise defeated KV Mechelen 2:1. The match was played in Jupiler Pro League 2022.

Rivalry since 2018

Union St. Gilloise vs KV Mechelen Head to Head Results

16 stretnutí
Union St. Gilloise
6
wins
Drawn
3
KV Mechelen
7
wins
Total goals
42 · 2.6/match
Both scored
7/16 · 44%
Over 2.5
9/16 · 56%

Recent Form

Union St. Gilloise

WLWDWW

KV Mechelen

LWLLLL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Union St. Gilloise5wins
2draws10 meetings
KV Mechelen3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.1

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

30%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (68%) — the odds may underestimate Union St. Gilloise.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 72.5%Draw 20.5%Away 13.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.364.757.00
Max1.405.027.41
Over 2.5: 62.5%Under 2.5: 43.5%
Market favourite:Union St. Gilloise · Heavy favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market68.1%19.0%12.9%
Public market67.5%19.3%13.1%

Union St. Gilloise vs KV Mechelen — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Union St. Gilloise
Result vs. Market: Union St. Gilloise (72%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Union St. GilloiseHalf-time:11KV Mechelen
15Shots5
6Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
10/05/26Union St. Gilloise3–0KV Mechelen1.33/4.50/8.00
12/04/26KV Mechelen0–1Union St. Gilloise5.00/3.50/1.65
17/01/26Union St. Gilloise1–0KV Mechelen1.30/4.50/9.00
09/11/25KV Mechelen1–1Union St. Gilloise5.00/4.00/1.62
16/02/25Union St. Gilloise0–1KV Mechelen1.55/4.24/5.30
02/11/24KV Mechelen1–1Union St. Gilloise3.69/3.72/1.90
17/12/23Union St. Gilloise1–0KV Mechelen1.32/5.13/8.70
19/08/23KV Mechelen4–0Union St. Gilloise4.31/3.88/1.78
19/03/23Union St. Gilloise2–1KV Mechelen1.38/4.88/7.21
06/08/22KV Mechelen3–0Union St. Gilloise3.15/3.59/2.14

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Union St. Gilloise

W 120D 41L 24
Over 2.557
Goals scored360

Away Record: KV Mechelen

W 251D 182L 319
Over 2.555
Goals scored984

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026