11 February 2023 at 17:30
Betting Odds & Historical Data
Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.
Historical data only — not for betting
This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.
Head-to-Head Record
Even recordHistorical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.
Goals in This Fixture
How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.
2.2
Average goals per game
60%
Games with 3+ goals
50%
Both teams scored
Potential Betting Value Detected
Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (56%) — the odds may underestimate Union Berlin.
Market Summary
Margin: 4.6%Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.
Implied Probability
Odds Range
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Min | 1.70 | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| Max | 1.75 | 3.76 | 5.31 |
Market Consensus
Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Professional market | 55.7% | 25.9% | 18.4% |
| Public market | 55.8% | 25.3% | 19.0% |
RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin — margin-removed probabilities
Result vs. Market
Result differed from market prediction
Match Statistics
Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.
Head-to-Head History
Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Avg. odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/2525/26 | Union Berlin | 3–1 | RB Leipzig | 3.24/3.49/2.25 |
| 01/02/2524/25 | Union Berlin | 0–0 | RB Leipzig | 3.13/3.47/2.26 |
| 14/09/2424/25 | RB Leipzig | 0–0 | Union Berlin | 1.47/4.56/6.71 |
| 04/02/2423/24 | RB Leipzig | 2–0 | Union Berlin | 1.39/4.93/7.64 |
| 03/09/2323/24 | Union Berlin | 0–3 | RB Leipzig | 3.25/3.28/2.20 |
| 11/02/2322/23 | RB Leipzig | 1–2 | Union Berlin | 1.72/3.70/5.19 |
| 20/08/2222/23 | Union Berlin | 2–1 | RB Leipzig | 3.60/3.51/2.08 |
| 23/04/2221/22 | RB Leipzig | 1–2 | Union Berlin | 1.54/4.04/6.66 |
| 03/12/2121/22 | Union Berlin | 2–1 | RB Leipzig | 3.57/3.58/2.06 |
| 20/01/2120/21 | RB Leipzig | 1–0 | Union Berlin | 1.51/4.15/7.15 |
Home Record / Away Record
Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.
Home Record: RB Leipzig
Away Record: Union Berlin
Data: football-data.co.uk
Match Summary
Union Berlin defeated RB Leipzig 2:1. The match was played in Bundesliga 2022. Goals were scored by B. Henrichs 24′, J. Haberer 61′, R. Knoche 72′ (pen.). 8 yellow cards were shown. RB Leipzig had 64% possession while Union Berlin held 36%. RB Leipzig had 10 shots (2 on target) compared to 6 (3 on target) for Union Berlin. Expected goals: RB Leipzig 0.69 — Union Berlin 1.64. RB Leipzig made 4 substitutions, Union Berlin made 5. VAR was involved: Goal cancelled (Yussuf Poulsen 80′).
Match Events
Key match events between RB Leipzig and Union Berlin — 3 goals and 8 cards recorded during the match.
assist: André Silva
Penalty
Match Statistics
RB Leipzig had 64% possession against Union Berlin's 36%. RB Leipzig registered 10 shots (2 on target) while Union Berlin managed 6 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 3–4. Fouls committed: 15–13.
Recent Form
In their last 6 matches, RB Leipzig have recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats. Union Berlin show 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 outings.
RB Leipzig
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin Head to Head Results
RB Leipzig and Union Berlin have met 18 times — RB Leipzig won 9, Union Berlin won 6, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2014. RB Leipzig leads the head-to-head with 9 victories from 18 meetings. A combined 50 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.78 per match (31 for the home side, 19 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 11 matches (61%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 games (72%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2015.
9
RB Leipzig
3
Drawn
6
Union Berlin
Recent Meetings (18)
API data: 15 Mar 2026