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VfL Wolfsburg vs Union Berlin

23 November 2024 at 14:30Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg

Match Summary

VfL Wolfsburg defeated Union Berlin 1:0. The match was played in Bundesliga 2024.

Rivalry since 2019

VfL Wolfsburg vs Union Berlin Head to Head Results· 14

VfL Wolfsburg and Union Berlin have met 14 times — VfL Wolfsburg won 6, Union Berlin won 5, with 3 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2019. VfL Wolfsburg leads the head-to-head with 6 victories from 14 meetings. A combined 34 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.43 per match (18 for the home side, 16 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 7 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–1 in 2025.

Drawn
3
·
Total goals
34 · 2.4/match
Both scored
7/14 · 50%
Over 2.5
7/14 · 50%

Recent Meetings

18/04/26Bundesliga
Match Details
06/12/25Bundesliga
Match Details
06/04/25Bundesliga
Match Details
10/02/24Bundesliga
Match Details
16/09/23Bundesliga
Match Details
12/03/23Bundesliga
Match Details
31/01/23DFB-Pokal
Match Details
18/09/22Bundesliga
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05/03/22Bundesliga
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16/10/21Bundesliga
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Highest-scoring game: 31 v 2025

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 1 matches, VfL Wolfsburg have recorded 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats. Union Berlin show 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses from their last 1 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2

Average goals per game

30%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
1
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (41%) — the odds may underestimate VfL Wolfsburg.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

18 Apr 202625/262.15/3.60/3.25
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6 Dec 202525/262.16/3.42/3.51
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6 Apr 202524/252.47/3.31/2.95
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23 Nov 202424/252.31/3.28/3.22
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10 Feb 202423/242.27/3.39/3.17
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16 Sept 202323/242.22/3.35/3.16
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12 Mar 202322/232.24/3.22/3.43
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18 Sept 202222/231.99/3.48/3.87
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5 Mar 202221/222.22/3.26/3.48
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16 Oct 202121/222.72/3.20/2.75
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Market Summary

Margin: 4.9%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 43.4%Draw 30.5%Away 31.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.253.253.20
Max2.373.303.27
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 57.8%
Market favourite:VfL Wolfsburg · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market40.9%29.5%29.6%
Public market41.4%28.9%29.8%

VfL Wolfsburg vs Union Berlin — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

VfL Wolfsburg
Result vs. Market: VfL Wolfsburg (43%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

VfL WolfsburgHalf-time:00Union Berlin
10Shots11
5Shots on target4

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: VfL Wolfsburg

W 365D 252L 368
Over 2.557
Goals scored1475

Away Record: Union Berlin

W 86D 61L 90
Over 2.552
Goals scored300

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026