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FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart

25 January 2025 at 14:30MEWA ARENA, Mainz

Match Summary

FSV Mainz 05 defeated VfB Stuttgart 2:0. The match was played in Bundesliga 2024.

Rivalry since 2010

FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart Head to Head Results· 29

FSV Mainz 05 and VfB Stuttgart have met 29 times — FSV Mainz 05 won 10, VfB Stuttgart won 12, with 7 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. VfB Stuttgart leads the head-to-head with 12 victories from 29 meetings. A combined 92 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 3.17 per match (42 for the home side, 50 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 20 matches (69%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 18 games (62%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. VfB Stuttgart are currently unbeaten in the last 12 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–3 in 2024.

Drawn
7
·
Total goals
92 · 3.2/match
Both scored
20/29 · 69%
Over 2.5
18/29 · 62%

Recent Meetings

07/03/26Bundesliga
Match Details
29/10/25DFB-Pokal
Match Details
26/10/25Bundesliga
Match Details
31/08/24Bundesliga
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11/02/24Bundesliga
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16/09/23Bundesliga
Match Details
21/05/23Bundesliga
Match Details
21/01/23Bundesliga
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16/04/22Bundesliga
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26/11/21Bundesliga
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Highest-scoring game: 33 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, FSV Mainz 05 have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats. VfB Stuttgart show 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

3.3

Average goals per game

70%

Games with 3+ goals

80%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
4
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (34%) — the odds may underestimate VfB Stuttgart.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

7 Mar 202625/263.20/3.60/2.15
Match Details
26 Oct 202525/261.77/4.06/4.29
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25 Jan 202524/252.83/3.48/2.46
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31 Aug 202424/251.63/4.25/5.11
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11 Feb 202423/241.43/4.67/7.15
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16 Sept 202323/242.50/3.47/2.67
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21 May 202322/232.51/3.55/2.71
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21 Jan 202322/232.41/3.51/2.90
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16 Apr 202221/222.03/3.54/3.72
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26 Nov 202121/222.91/3.30/2.51
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Market Summary

Margin: 4.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 35.4%Draw 28.7%Away 40.7%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.803.402.45
Max2.883.552.47
Over 2.5: 57.8%Under 2.5: 47.6%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market33.6%27.2%39.2%
Public market34.0%27.2%38.8%

FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

FSV Mainz 05
Result vs. Market: VfB Stuttgart (41%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

FSV Mainz 05Half-time:10VfB Stuttgart
11Shots10
4Shots on target5

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: FSV Mainz 05

W 224D 180L 275
Over 2.554
Goals scored901

Away Record: VfB Stuttgart

W 410D 269L 374
Over 2.557
Goals scored1619

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 14 May 2026