12 May 2018 at 16:15

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Aston Villa dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Middlesbrough0wins
1draws4 meetings
Aston Villa3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.8

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

0%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (49%) — the odds may underestimate Aston Villa.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 49.5%Draw 29.9%Away 24.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.003.253.75
Max2.053.394.33
Market favourite:Middlesbrough · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market48.5%28.8%22.7%
Public market48.7%28.8%22.5%

Middlesbrough vs Aston Villa — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Aston Villa
Result vs. Market: Middlesbrough (50%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MiddlesbroughHalf-time:00Aston Villa
13Shots11
1Shots on target5

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
16/03/19Aston Villa3–0Middlesbrough2.18/3.35/3.59
01/12/18Middlesbrough0–3Aston Villa2.17/3.33/3.68
12/09/17Aston Villa0–0Middlesbrough2.61/3.16/2.97
30/12/17Middlesbrough0–1Aston Villa2.02/3.34/4.12

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Middlesbrough

W 309D 180L 243
Over 2.546
Goals scored991

Away Record: Aston Villa

W 60D 41L 37
Over 2.546
Goals scored201

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Aston Villa defeated Middlesbrough 1:0. The match was played in Championship 2017.

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Middlesbrough have recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats. Aston Villa show 4 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses from their last 6 outings.

Middlesbrough

LDLDDL

Aston Villa

WDWWWL
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026