24 April 2021 at 14:00

Referee: A. Davies

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Nottingham Forest1wins
4draws8 meetings
Stoke City3wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.6

Average goals per game

38%

Games with 3+ goals

63%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (0%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (36%) — the odds may underestimate Stoke City.

Market Summary

Margin: 4.7%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 37.0%Draw 32.0%Away 35.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.623.002.75
Max2.753.202.87
Over 2.5: 40.0%Under 2.5: 65.4%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market35.5%30.6%33.9%
Public market36.3%29.7%34.0%

Nottingham Forest vs Stoke City — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Nottingham Forest (37%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Nottingham ForestHalf-time:01Stoke City
6Shots10
2Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
12/02/22Nottingham Forest2–2Stoke City2.29/3.22/3.27
21/08/21Stoke City1–0Nottingham Forest1.86/3.39/4.56
24/04/21Nottingham Forest1–1Stoke City2.70/3.13/2.81
29/12/20Stoke City1–1Nottingham Forest2.54/3.02/3.11
22/07/20Nottingham Forest1–4Stoke City2.15/3.29/3.51
27/09/19Stoke City2–3Nottingham Forest2.40/3.12/3.27
02/03/19Stoke City2–0Nottingham Forest2.31/3.18/3.47
10/11/18Nottingham Forest0–0Stoke City2.60/3.27/2.94

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Nottingham Forest

W 238D 205L 247
Over 2.545
Goals scored860

Away Record: Stoke City

W 189D 152L 207
Over 2.542
Goals scored633

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Nottingham Forest and Stoke City drew 1:1. The match was played in Championship 2020.

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Nottingham Forest have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats. Stoke City show 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 outings.

Nottingham Forest

WDDWWD

Stoke City

LDLWLW
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026