30 April 2022 at 14:00

Referee: J. Simpson

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Middlesbrough4wins
4draws10 meetings
Stoke City2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (40%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (52%) — the odds may underestimate Stoke City.

Market Summary

Margin: 5.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 54.5%Draw 27.2%Away 23.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.803.404.20
Max1.853.834.36
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 58.1%
Market favourite:Middlesbrough · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market52.4%25.3%22.2%
Public market52.6%24.9%22.5%

Middlesbrough vs Stoke City — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Middlesbrough
Result vs. Market: Middlesbrough (55%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MiddlesbroughHalf-time:20Stoke City
9Shots10
2Shots on target3

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
21/01/26Stoke City1–2Middlesbrough3.00/3.30/2.30
30/09/25Middlesbrough0–0Stoke City1.85/3.50/4.24
25/02/25Stoke City1–3Middlesbrough2.99/3.41/2.35
28/09/24Middlesbrough2–0Stoke City1.62/4.04/5.12
02/03/24Stoke City2–0Middlesbrough2.72/3.36/2.60
28/10/23Middlesbrough0–2Stoke City1.76/3.87/4.46
14/03/23Middlesbrough1–1Stoke City1.71/3.80/5.00
17/08/22Stoke City2–2Middlesbrough2.67/3.21/2.77
30/04/22Middlesbrough3–1Stoke City1.83/3.68/4.25
11/12/21Stoke City0–0Middlesbrough2.42/3.12/3.17

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Middlesbrough

W 309D 180L 243
Over 2.546
Goals scored991

Away Record: Stoke City

W 189D 152L 207
Over 2.542
Goals scored633

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Middlesbrough defeated Stoke City 3:1. The match was played in Championship 2021.

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Middlesbrough have recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats. Stoke City show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Middlesbrough

LDLDDL

Stoke City

DLWLWD

Middlesbrough vs Stoke City Head to Head Results

Middlesbrough and Stoke City have met 2 times — Middlesbrough won 1, Stoke City won 0, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. Middlesbrough leads the head-to-head with 1 victories from 2 meetings. A combined 3 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 1.50 per match (2 for the home side, 1 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 1 matches (50%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 games (50%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 1–2 in 2026.

1

Middlesbrough

1

Drawn

0

Stoke City

Goals: 2Goals: 1

Recent Meetings (2)

21 Jan 2026Stoke City1 – 2Middlesbrough
30 Sept 2025Middlesbrough0 – 0Stoke City
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026