21 January 2026 at 20:00

Referee: Adam Herczeg
Stadium: Bet365 Stadium, Stoke on Trent

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Stoke City2wins
4draws10 meetings
Middlesbrough4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (31%) — the odds may underestimate Middlesbrough.

Market Summary

Margin: 7.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 33.3%Draw 30.3%Away 43.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.003.302.30
Max3.003.302.30
Over 2.5: 48.8%Under 2.5: 55.6%
Market favourite:Middlesbrough · Slight favourite

Result vs. Market

Middlesbrough
Result vs. Market: Middlesbrough (43%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Stoke CityHalf-time:10Middlesbrough
10Shots16
4Shots on target7

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
21/01/26Stoke City1–2Middlesbrough3.00/3.30/2.30
30/09/25Middlesbrough0–0Stoke City1.85/3.50/4.24
25/02/25Stoke City1–3Middlesbrough2.99/3.41/2.35
28/09/24Middlesbrough2–0Stoke City1.62/4.04/5.12
02/03/24Stoke City2–0Middlesbrough2.72/3.36/2.60
28/10/23Middlesbrough0–2Stoke City1.76/3.87/4.46
14/03/23Middlesbrough1–1Stoke City1.71/3.80/5.00
17/08/22Stoke City2–2Middlesbrough2.67/3.21/2.77
30/04/22Middlesbrough3–1Stoke City1.83/3.68/4.25
11/12/21Stoke City0–0Middlesbrough2.42/3.12/3.17

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Stoke City

W 189D 152L 207
Over 2.542
Goals scored633

Away Record: Middlesbrough

W 309D 180L 243
Over 2.546
Goals scored991

Data: football-data.co.uk

Match Summary

Middlesbrough defeated Stoke City 2:1. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by T. Rigo 15′, A. Browne 48′, T. Conway 59′. 4 yellow cards were shown, 1 red cards. Stoke City had 40% possession while Middlesbrough held 60%. Stoke City had 10 shots (4 on target) compared to 16 (7 on target) for Middlesbrough. Expected goals: Stoke City 0.81 — Middlesbrough 1.22. Stoke City made 2 substitutions, Middlesbrough made 4.

Match Events

Key match events between Stoke City and Middlesbrough — 3 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.

Stoke City
Middlesbrough
Kick Off
T. Rigo

assist: L. Cisse

15′
Half Time
46′
A. GilbertD. Burgzorg
46′
S. SilveraL. Castledine
48′
A. Browne

assist: M. Whittaker

59′
T. Conway

assist: A. Browne

M. ManhoefT. Seko
67′
B. PearsonE. Bocat
75′
79′
M. WhittakerS. Nypan
90+2′
T. ConwayD. Fry
Full Time

Match Statistics

Stoke City had 40% possession against Middlesbrough's 60%. Stoke City registered 10 shots (4 on target) while Middlesbrough managed 16 (7 on target). Corner kicks: 5–4. Fouls committed: 11–10.

4Shots on Goal7
4Shots off Goal4
10Total Shots16
2Blocked Shots5
7Shots insidebox8
3Shots outsidebox8
11Fouls10
5Corner Kicks4
2Offsides4
40%Ball Possession60%
3Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves3
332Total passes497
256Passes accurate416
77%Passes %84%
0.81expected_goals1.22
0goals_prevented0

Recent Form

In their last 6 matches, Stoke City have recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats. Middlesbrough show 1 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Stoke City

LLDLWL

Middlesbrough

WDLDLD

Stoke City vs Middlesbrough Head to Head Results

Stoke City and Middlesbrough have met 1 times — Stoke City won 0, Middlesbrough won 0, with 1 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2025. A combined 0 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 0.00 per match (0 for the home side, 0 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 0 matches (0%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 games (0%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals.

0

Stoke City

1

Drawn

0

Middlesbrough

Goals: 0Goals: 0

Recent Meetings (1)

30 Sept 2025Middlesbrough0 – 0Stoke City
Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 15 Mar 2026