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Millwall vs Watford

The Den, London12 April 2014 at 15:07
22

Match Summary

Millwall and Watford drew 2:2. The match was played in Championship 2013.

Rivalry since 2011

Millwall vs Watford Head to Head Results

18 stretnutí
Millwall
8
wins
Drawn
3
Watford
7
wins
Total goals
39 · 2.2/match
Both scored
5/18 · 28%
Over 2.5
7/18 · 39%

Recent Form

Millwall

WDWWDL

Watford

LLLLLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Millwall dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Millwall6wins
2draws10 meetings
Watford2wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.2

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

30%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (33%) — the odds may underestimate Millwall.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 34.6%Draw 29.4%Away 39.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.803.202.50
Max2.963.502.55
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market33.1%28.0%38.9%
Public market33.7%27.9%38.3%

Millwall vs Watford — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Watford (40%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MillwallHalf-time:01Watford
19Shots18
7Shots on target6

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
17/01/26Watford0–2Millwall2.01/3.30/3.60
22/09/25Millwall1–0Watford2.05/3.23/3.77
08/03/25Watford1–2Millwall2.37/3.14/3.23
10/08/24Millwall2–3Watford2.36/3.18/3.26
02/03/24Millwall1–0Watford2.42/3.28/3.02
28/10/23Watford2–2Millwall2.05/3.28/3.88
26/12/22Watford0–2Millwall2.09/3.29/3.76
19/10/22Millwall3–0Watford2.55/3.18/2.90
24/04/21Watford1–0Millwall1.55/3.82/7.19
26/01/21Millwall0–0Watford3.34/3.05/2.40

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Millwall

W 250D 216L 270
Over 2.541
Goals scored816

Away Record: Watford

W 265D 195L 230
Over 2.553
Goals scored989

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026