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Watford vs Millwall

Vicarage Road Stadium, Watford1 November 2014 at 15:00
31

Match Summary

Watford defeated Millwall 3:1. The match was played in Championship 2014.

Rivalry since 2011

Watford vs Millwall Head to Head Results

18 stretnutí
Watford
6
wins
Drawn
4
Millwall
8
wins
Total goals
39 · 2.2/match
Both scored
5/18 · 28%
Over 2.5
7/18 · 39%

Recent Form

Watford

LLLLLD

Millwall

WDWWDL

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Millwall dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Watford2wins
2draws10 meetings
Millwall6wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.2

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

30%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (50%) — the odds may underestimate Millwall.

Market Summary

Margin: 3.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 50.9%Draw 28.4%Away 24.1%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.943.204.00
Max2.003.704.24
Market favourite:Watford · Slight favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market50.3%26.7%23.0%
Public market50.2%26.5%23.3%

Watford vs Millwall — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Watford
Result vs. Market: Watford (51%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

WatfordHalf-time:21Millwall
10Shots11
7Shots on target4

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
17/01/26Watford0–2Millwall2.01/3.30/3.60
22/09/25Millwall1–0Watford2.05/3.23/3.77
08/03/25Watford1–2Millwall2.37/3.14/3.23
10/08/24Millwall2–3Watford2.36/3.18/3.26
02/03/24Millwall1–0Watford2.42/3.28/3.02
28/10/23Watford2–2Millwall2.05/3.28/3.88
26/12/22Watford0–2Millwall2.09/3.29/3.76
19/10/22Millwall3–0Watford2.55/3.18/2.90
24/04/21Watford1–0Millwall1.55/3.82/7.19
26/01/21Millwall0–0Watford3.34/3.05/2.40

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Watford

W 265D 195L 230
Over 2.553
Goals scored989

Away Record: Millwall

W 250D 216L 270
Over 2.541
Goals scored816

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026