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Arbroath vs Ayr Utd

Gayfield Park, Arbroath17 April 2021 at 12:00
40
Referee: G. Duncan

Match Events

Arbroath
Ayr Utd
Kick Off
R. Little
11′
B. Williamson
24′
J. Hamilton

assist: N. Low

27′
31′M. Miller
34′A. Muirhead
34′
S. Roscoe-ByrneM. McKenzie
Half Time
46′
J. BarjonasJ. Todd
55′
A. WrightT. Walsh
D. Hilson

assist: C. Hamilton

65′
D. GoldS. Stewart
67′
N. LowM. McKenna
67′
K. DoolanJ. Craigen
67′
Full Time

Match Summary

Arbroath defeated Ayr Utd 4:0. The match was played in Championship 2020. Goals were scored by R. Little 11′, B. Williamson 24′, J. Hamilton 27′, D. Hilson 65′. 2 yellow cards were shown. Arbroath made 3 substitutions, Ayr Utd made 3.

Rivalry since 2017

Arbroath vs Ayr Utd Head to Head Results

25 stretnutí
Arbroath
7
wins
Drawn
10
Ayr Utd
8
wins
Total goals
59 · 2.4/match
Both scored
13/25 · 52%
Over 2.5
10/25 · 40%

Recent Form

Arbroath

LDDWLL

Ayr Utd

LLLWLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Arbroath1wins
5draws10 meetings
Ayr Utd4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.9

Average goals per game

20%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (37%) — the odds may underestimate Ayr Utd.

Market Summary

Margin: 6.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 39.8%Draw 32.2%Away 34.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.453.002.80
Max2.593.203.01
Over 2.5: 43.5%Under 2.5: 62.5%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market37.2%30.9%32.0%
Public market37.4%29.2%33.4%
Δ0.2%1.6%1.4%

Arbroath vs Ayr Utd — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Arbroath
Result vs. Market: Arbroath (40%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ArbroathHalf-time:30Ayr Utd
21Shots2
8Shots on target1

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
11/04/26Ayr Utd1–0Arbroath2.25/3.00/2.88
03/03/26Arbroath1–1Ayr Utd2.35/3.25/2.80
15/11/25Ayr Utd1–1Arbroath1.65/3.50/4.50
01/08/25Arbroath1–1Ayr Utd3.96/3.98/1.77
13/04/24Ayr Utd5–0Arbroath1.41/4.32/6.66
23/01/24Ayr Utd2–0Arbroath1.62/3.89/4.83
13/01/24Arbroath0–0Ayr Utd2.89/3.76/2.13
02/09/23Arbroath2–1Ayr Utd2.68/3.07/2.65
29/10/22Arbroath0–2Ayr Utd2.96/3.19/2.32
30/07/22Ayr Utd0–0Arbroath2.66/3.09/2.64

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Arbroath

W 76D 75L 118
Over 2.548
Goals scored285

Away Record: Ayr Utd

W 214D 192L 260
Over 2.548
Goals scored851

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026