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Arbroath vs Ayr Utd

Gayfield Park, Arbroath23 October 2021 at 15:00
11
Referee: J. Beaton

Match Events

Arbroath
Ayr Utd
Kick Off
7′T. Adeloye
Half Time
M. McKenna
56′
69′
C. SalkeldM. Moffat
69′
T. AdeloyeJ. Afolabi
A. DowdsD. Gold
74′
76′A. Murdoch
80′
J. Afolabi

assist: M. Moffat

L. DonnellyL. Henderson
82′
H. ClarkC. Hamilton
85′
Full Time

Match Summary

Arbroath and Ayr Utd drew 1:1. The match was played in Championship 2021. Goals were scored by M. McKenna 56′, J. Afolabi 80′. 2 yellow cards were shown. Arbroath made 3 substitutions, Ayr Utd made 2.

Rivalry since 2017

Arbroath vs Ayr Utd Head to Head Results

25 stretnutí
Arbroath
8
wins
Drawn
9
Ayr Utd
8
wins
Total goals
61 · 2.4/match
Both scored
12/25 · 48%
Over 2.5
11/25 · 44%

Recent Form

Arbroath

LDDWLL

Ayr Utd

LLLWLD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

Arbroath1wins
5draws10 meetings
Ayr Utd4wins

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

1.9

Average goals per game

20%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (53%) — the odds may underestimate Ayr Utd.

Market Summary

Margin: 8.3%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 56.5%Draw 28.0%Away 23.6%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.723.404.00
Max1.803.804.50
Over 2.5: 48.8%Under 2.5: 57.1%
Market favourite:Arbroath · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market52.7%24.8%22.5%
Public market53.4%26.2%20.4%
Δ0.7%1.4%2.1%

Arbroath vs Ayr Utd — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Draw
Result vs. Market: Arbroath (56%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

ArbroathHalf-time:00Ayr Utd
10Shots9
2Shots on target2

Head-to-Head History

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

DateHomeScoreAwayAvg. odds
11/04/26Ayr Utd1–0Arbroath2.25/3.00/2.88
03/03/26Arbroath1–1Ayr Utd2.35/3.25/2.80
15/11/25Ayr Utd1–1Arbroath1.65/3.50/4.50
01/08/25Arbroath1–1Ayr Utd3.96/3.98/1.77
13/04/24Ayr Utd5–0Arbroath1.41/4.32/6.66
23/01/24Ayr Utd2–0Arbroath1.62/3.89/4.83
13/01/24Arbroath0–0Ayr Utd2.89/3.76/2.13
02/09/23Arbroath2–1Ayr Utd2.68/3.07/2.65
29/10/22Arbroath0–2Ayr Utd2.96/3.19/2.32
30/07/22Ayr Utd0–0Arbroath2.66/3.09/2.64

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Arbroath

W 76D 75L 118
Over 2.548
Goals scored285

Away Record: Ayr Utd

W 214D 192L 260
Over 2.548
Goals scored851

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 11 May 2026