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Stoke City vs Birmingham

13 September 2025 at 15:00bet365 Stadium, Stoke

Match Summary

Stoke City defeated Birmingham 1:0. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by B. Lawal 21′. 4 yellow cards were shown. Stoke City had 42% possession while Birmingham held 58%. Stoke City had 8 shots (3 on target) compared to 7 (0 on target) for Birmingham. Expected goals: Stoke City 0.49 — Birmingham 0.52. Stoke City made 4 substitutions, Birmingham made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Stoke City and Birmingham — 1 goal and 4 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
59′
T. DoyleM. Ducksch
60′
P. RobertsL. Koumas
T. RigoJ. Bae
71′
79′
J. StansfieldK. Furuhashi
B. PearsonT. Seko
82′
84′
P. NeumannM. Leonard
A. CresswellE. Bocat
90+3′
M. ManhoefL. Cisse
90+3′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Stoke City had 42% possession against Birmingham's 58%. Stoke City registered 8 shots (3 on target) while Birmingham managed 7 (0 on target). Corner kicks: 5–3. Fouls committed: 11–11.

Shots on Goal
3
0
Shots Off Goal
3
3
Total Shots
8
7
Blocked Shots
2
4
Shots inside the Box
8
5
Shots outside the Box
0
2
Fouls
11
11
Corner Kicks
5
3
Offsides
6
1
Ball Possession
42%
58%
Yellow Cards
3
1
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
0
2
Total Passes
341
471
Accurate Passes
248
375
Pass Accuracy
73%
80%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.49
0.52
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.12
0.12

Rivalry since 2010

Stoke City vs Birmingham Head to Head Results· 15

Stoke City and Birmingham have met 15 times — Stoke City won 3, Birmingham won 7, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2010. Birmingham leads the head-to-head with 7 victories from 15 meetings. A combined 34 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.27 per match (15 for the home side, 19 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 8 matches (53%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 games (40%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–2 in 2010.

Drawn
5
·
Total goals
34 · 2.3/match
Both scored
8/15 · 53%
Over 2.5
6/15 · 40%

Recent Meetings

24/01/26Championship
Match Details
20/01/24Championship
Match Details
26/12/23Championship
Match Details
10/04/23Championship
Match Details
05/11/22Championship
Match Details
19/02/22Championship
Match Details
14/08/21Championship
Match Details
10/04/21Championship
Match Details
04/10/20Championship
Match Details
12/07/20Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 32 v 2010

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Stoke City have recorded 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats. Birmingham show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.1

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

60%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
5
10 meetings

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

24 Jan 202625/261.81/3.60/4.00
Match Details
13 Sept 202525/263.07/3.18/2.38
Match Details
20 Jan 202423/241.92/3.50/4.03
Match Details
26 Dec 202323/242.61/3.28/2.74
Match Details
10 Apr 202322/233.27/3.21/2.31
Match Details
5 Nov 202222/232.06/3.41/3.67
Match Details
19 Feb 202221/221.79/3.61/4.69
Match Details
14 Aug 202121/222.75/3.06/2.77
Match Details
10 Apr 202120/212.94/3.01/2.65
Match Details
4 Oct 202020/212.27/3.12/3.50
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 6.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 32.6%Draw 31.4%Away 42.0%

Odds Range

1X2
Min3.003.162.35
Max3.143.202.41
Over 2.5: 43.5%Under 2.5: 61.7%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market30.3%30.1%39.5%
Public market31.1%29.2%39.7%

Stoke City vs Birmingham — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Stoke City
Result vs. Market: Birmingham (42%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

Stoke CityHalf-time:10Birmingham
8Shots7
3Shots on target0

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Stoke City

W 189D 152L 211
Over 2.542
Goals scored635

Away Record: Birmingham

W 247D 211L 278
Over 2.544
Goals scored869

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026