Menu

Blackburn vs Swansea

30 September 2025 at 19:45Ewood Park, Blackburn
12
Referee: Leigh Doughty

Match Summary

Swansea defeated Blackburn 2:1. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by T. Cantwell 28′, G. Franco 44′, L. Cullen 67′. 5 yellow cards were shown. Blackburn had 51% possession while Swansea held 49%. Blackburn had 14 shots (3 on target) compared to 7 (4 on target) for Swansea. Expected goals: Blackburn 0.61 — Swansea 0.46. Blackburn made 3 substitutions, Swansea made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Blackburn and Swansea — 3 goals and 5 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
44′
Half Time
R. MorishitaA. Kargbo
46′
56′
Z. InoussaJ. Eom
63′
Z. VipotnikA. Idah
67′
L. Cullen

assist: A. Idah

R. HedgesY. Ohashi
71′
84′
M. StamenicJ. Fulton
89′
Full Time

Match Statistics

Blackburn had 51% possession against Swansea's 49%. Blackburn registered 14 shots (3 on target) while Swansea managed 7 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 7–3. Fouls committed: 15–13.

Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots Off Goal
6
1
Total Shots
14
7
Blocked Shots
5
2
Shots inside the Box
8
4
Shots outside the Box
6
3
Fouls
15
13
Corner Kicks
7
3
Offsides
4
2
Ball Possession
51%
49%
Yellow Cards
3
2
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
2
Total Passes
425
425
Accurate Passes
315
334
Pass Accuracy
74%
79%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.61
0.46
Goals Prevented (xGP)
-0.51
-0.51

Rivalry since 2011

Blackburn vs Swansea Head to Head Results· 18

Blackburn and Swansea have met 18 times — Blackburn won 6, Swansea won 8, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. Swansea leads the head-to-head with 8 victories from 18 meetings. A combined 51 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.83 per match (23 for the home side, 28 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 10 matches (56%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 games (61%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–2 in 2011.

Drawn
4
·
8
wins
Total goals
51 · 2.8/match
Both scored
10/18 · 56%
Over 2.5
11/18 · 61%

Recent Meetings

20/01/26Championship
Match Details
22/02/25Championship
Match Details
19/10/24Championship
Match Details
02/03/24Championship
Match Details
28/10/23Championship
Match Details
18/02/23Championship
Match Details
06/08/22Championship
Match Details
05/02/22Championship
Match Details
07/08/21Championship
Match Details
09/03/21Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 42 v 2011

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Blackburn have recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats. Swansea show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Blackburn

LWDLDD

Swansea

WDWLWD

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

60%

Games with 3+ goals

40%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Swansea dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
0
10 meetings
6
wins

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (60%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (37%) — the odds may underestimate Blackburn.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

20 Jan 202625/262.05/3.25/3.70
Match Details
30 Sept 202525/262.59/3.21/2.74
Match Details
22 Feb 202524/252.58/3.24/2.79
Match Details
19 Oct 202424/252.12/3.42/3.47
Match Details
2 Mar 202423/242.20/3.53/3.19
Match Details
28 Oct 202323/242.00/3.76/3.51
Match Details
18 Feb 202322/232.75/3.35/2.60
Match Details
6 Aug 202222/232.38/3.26/3.11
Match Details
5 Feb 202221/222.51/3.14/3.02
Match Details
7 Aug 202121/222.13/3.33/3.52
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 6.4%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 38.6%Draw 31.2%Away 36.5%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.573.102.65
Max2.613.312.83
Over 2.5: 45.5%Under 2.5: 59.9%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market36.9%29.1%34.0%
Public market35.7%29.6%34.7%
Δ1.2%0.5%0.6%

Blackburn vs Swansea — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Swansea
Result vs. Market: Blackburn (39%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

BlackburnHalf-time:11Swansea
14Shots7
3Shots on target4

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Blackburn

W 207D 169L 222
Over 2.546
Goals scored751

Away Record: Swansea

W 200D 141L 165
Over 2.546
Goals scored648

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026