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Millwall vs Sheffield Wednesday

26 November 2025 at 19:45The Den, London

Match Summary

Millwall defeated Sheffield Wednesday 1:0. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by F. Azeez 71′. 3 yellow cards were shown. Millwall had 55% possession while Sheffield Wednesday held 45%. Millwall had 24 shots (8 on target) compared to 11 (3 on target) for Sheffield Wednesday. Expected goals: Millwall 2.45 — Sheffield Wednesday 0.70. Millwall made 5 substitutions, Sheffield Wednesday made 4.

Match Events

Key match events between Millwall and Sheffield Wednesday — 1 goal and 3 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
T. BalloF. Azeez
61′
C. NeghliR. Bangura-Williams
61′
71′
A. DoughtyD. McNamara
72′
73′
S. IngelssonJ. Lowe
79′
L. CooperL. Palmer
A. EmakhuD. Kelly
87′
M. IvanovicM. Langstaff
87′
90′
H. AmassR. Johnson
90′
S. FusireJ. Thornton
Full Time

Match Statistics

Millwall had 55% possession against Sheffield Wednesday's 45%. Millwall registered 24 shots (8 on target) while Sheffield Wednesday managed 11 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 9–5. Fouls committed: 7–11.

Shots on Goal
8
3
Shots Off Goal
10
5
Total Shots
24
11
Blocked Shots
6
3
Shots inside the Box
20
6
Shots outside the Box
4
5
Fouls
7
11
Corner Kicks
9
5
Offsides
2
0
Ball Possession
55%
45%
Yellow Cards
0
3
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3
6
Total Passes
429
372
Accurate Passes
318
264
Pass Accuracy
74%
71%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.45
0.70
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.39
0.39

Rivalry since 2012

Millwall vs Sheffield Wednesday Head to Head Results· 19

Millwall and Sheffield Wednesday have met 19 times — Millwall won 6, Sheffield Wednesday won 6, with 7 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2012. A combined 51 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.68 per match (28 for the home side, 23 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 12 matches (63%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 games (63%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. Millwall are currently unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. The highest-scoring encounter finished 4–1 in 2021.

Drawn
7
·
Total goals
51 · 2.7/match
Both scored
12/19 · 63%
Over 2.5
12/19 · 63%

Recent Meetings

14/02/26Championship
Match Details
04/01/25Championship
Match Details
31/08/24Championship
Match Details
17/02/24Championship
Match Details
11/11/23Championship
Match Details
06/02/21Championship
Match Details
07/11/20Championship
Match Details
01/02/20Championship
Match Details
17/08/19Championship
Match Details
12/02/19Championship
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 41 v 2021

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Millwall have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Sheffield Wednesday show 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.3

Average goals per game

50%

Games with 3+ goals

30%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Millwall dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
3
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (80%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (57%) — the odds may underestimate Millwall.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

14 Feb 202625/269.00/4.33/1.35
Match Details
26 Nov 202525/261.65/3.77/5.18
Match Details
4 Jan 202524/252.16/3.21/3.55
Match Details
31 Aug 202424/252.44/3.30/2.97
Match Details
17 Feb 202423/242.13/3.21/3.64
Match Details
11 Nov 202323/242.66/3.01/2.87
Match Details
6 Feb 202120/212.06/3.14/4.09
Match Details
7 Nov 202020/212.76/3.20/2.72
Match Details
1 Feb 202019/202.21/3.05/3.73
Match Details
17 Aug 201919/202.59/3.14/2.96
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 6.6%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 60.8%Draw 26.5%Away 19.3%

Odds Range

1X2
Min1.623.705.11
Max1.673.845.25
Over 2.5: 48.8%Under 2.5: 55.6%
Market favourite:Millwall · Moderate favourite

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market56.8%24.7%18.6%
Public market57.3%25.1%17.7%

Millwall vs Sheffield Wednesday — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Millwall
Result vs. Market: Millwall (61%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

MillwallHalf-time:00Sheffield Wednesday
24Shots11
8Shots on target3

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Millwall

W 250D 216L 270
Over 2.541
Goals scored816

Away Record: Sheffield Wednesday

W 249D 218L 315
Over 2.547
Goals scored898

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026