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Watford vs Millwall

17 January 2026 at 12:30Vicarage Road, Watford
02
Referee: Ruebyn Ricardo

Match Summary

Millwall defeated Watford 2:0. The match was played in Championship 2025. Goals were scored by F. Azeez 69′, J. Coburn 81′. 8 yellow cards were shown. Watford had 56% possession while Millwall held 44%. Watford had 9 shots (3 on target) compared to 13 (4 on target) for Millwall. Expected goals: Watford 0.54 — Millwall 1.57. Watford made 4 substitutions, Millwall made 5.

Match Events

Key match events between Watford and Millwall — 2 goals and 8 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
Half Time
46′
C. De NorreM. Langstaff
J. NgakiaK. Keben
66′
66′
T. BalloA. Emakhu
L. KjerrumgaardV. Semedo
80′
H. KyprianouK. Baah
80′
80′
F. AzeezL. Cundle
81′
87′
C. NeghliZ. Sturge
Full Time

Match Statistics

Watford had 56% possession against Millwall's 44%. Watford registered 9 shots (3 on target) while Millwall managed 13 (4 on target). Corner kicks: 4–4. Fouls committed: 7–22.

Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots Off Goal
3
8
Total Shots
9
13
Blocked Shots
3
1
Shots inside the Box
3
8
Shots outside the Box
6
5
Fouls
7
22
Corner Kicks
4
4
Offsides
0
2
Ball Possession
56%
44%
Yellow Cards
4
4
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3
3
Total Passes
413
317
Accurate Passes
327
232
Pass Accuracy
79%
73%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.54
1.57
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0.51
0.51

Rivalry since 2011

Watford vs Millwall Head to Head Results· 18

Watford and Millwall have met 18 times — Watford won 7, Millwall won 7, with 4 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2011. A combined 41 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.28 per match (22 for the home side, 19 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 6 matches (33%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 games (44%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 2–3 in 2024.

7
wins
Drawn
4
·
Total goals
41 · 2.3/match
Both scored
6/18 · 33%
Over 2.5
8/18 · 44%

Recent Meetings

22/09/25Championship
Match Details
08/03/25Championship
Match Details
10/08/24Championship
Match Details
02/03/24Championship
Match Details
28/10/23Championship
Match Details
26/12/22Championship
Match Details
19/10/22Championship
Match Details
24/04/21Championship
Match Details
26/01/21Championship
Match Details
29/01/17FA Cup
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 23 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Watford have recorded 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats. Millwall show 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 outings.

Watford

LLLLLD

Millwall

LDWDWW

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.2

Average goals per game

40%

Games with 3+ goals

30%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Millwall dominates

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

2
wins
draws
2
10 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (20%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (46%) — the odds may underestimate Millwall.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

17 Jan 202625/262.01/3.30/3.60
Match Details
22 Sept 202525/262.05/3.23/3.77
Match Details
8 Mar 202524/252.37/3.14/3.23
Match Details
10 Aug 202424/252.36/3.18/3.26
Match Details
2 Mar 202423/242.42/3.28/3.02
Match Details
28 Oct 202323/242.05/3.28/3.88
Match Details
26 Dec 202222/232.09/3.29/3.76
Match Details
19 Oct 202222/232.55/3.18/2.90
Match Details
24 Apr 202120/211.55/3.82/7.19
Match Details
26 Jan 202120/213.34/3.05/2.40
Match Details

Market Summary

Margin: 7.8%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 49.8%Draw 30.3%Away 27.8%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.013.303.60
Max2.013.303.60
Over 2.5: 47.6%Under 2.5: 57.8%
Market favourite:Watford · Slight favourite

Result vs. Market

Millwall
Result vs. Market: Watford (50%)

Result differed from market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

WatfordHalf-time:00Millwall
9Shots13
3Shots on target4

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Watford

W 265D 195L 230
Over 2.553
Goals scored989

Away Record: Millwall

W 250D 216L 270
Over 2.541
Goals scored816

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 12 May 2026