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Peterborough vs Stevenage

25 November 2025 at 19:45Weston Homes Stadium, Peterborough

Match Summary

Stevenage defeated Peterborough 1:0. The match was played in League One 2025. Goals were scored by J. Reid 21′ (pen.). 6 yellow cards were shown. Peterborough had 66% possession while Stevenage held 34%. Peterborough had 12 shots (2 on target) compared to 7 (3 on target) for Stevenage. Expected goals: Peterborough 0.58 — Stevenage 1.21. Peterborough made 4 substitutions, Stevenage made 4.

Match Events

Key match events between Peterborough and Stevenage — 1 goal and 6 cards recorded during the match.

Kick Off
21′
J. Reid

Penalty

Half Time
A. OdohB. Khela
62′
74′
H. WhiteL. Thompson
74′
G. AhadmeB. Lubala
A. CollinsD. Frith
76′
K. LisbieG. Lindgren
76′
84′
D. KempJ. Pattenden
85′
J. ReidC. Campbell
Full Time

Match Statistics

Peterborough had 66% possession against Stevenage's 34%. Peterborough registered 12 shots (2 on target) while Stevenage managed 7 (3 on target). Corner kicks: 4–3. Fouls committed: 9–16.

Shots on Goal
2
3
Shots Off Goal
5
2
Total Shots
12
7
Blocked Shots
5
2
Shots inside the Box
5
4
Shots outside the Box
7
3
Fouls
9
16
Corner Kicks
4
3
Offsides
2
1
Ball Possession
66%
34%
Yellow Cards
3
3
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
2
Total Passes
522
269
Accurate Passes
435
173
Pass Accuracy
83%
64%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.58
1.21
Goals Prevented (xGP)
0
0

Rivalry since 2013

Peterborough vs Stevenage Head to Head Results· 14

Peterborough and Stevenage have met 14 times — Peterborough won 5, Stevenage won 4, with 5 draws. Their rivalry dates back to 2013. Peterborough leads the head-to-head with 5 victories from 14 meetings. A combined 30 goals have been scored across these fixtures, averaging 2.14 per match (17 for the home side, 13 for the visitors). Both teams scored in 8 matches (57%). Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 games (29%), making it a fixture that tends to produce goals. The highest-scoring encounter finished 3–1 in 2024.

Drawn
5
·
Total goals
30 · 2.1/match
Both scored
8/14 · 57%
Over 2.5
4/14 · 29%

Recent Meetings

27/01/26League One
Match Details
15/02/25League One
Match Details
08/10/24EFL Trophy
Match Details
05/10/24League One
Match Details
13/03/24League One
Match Details
28/11/23League One
Match Details
30/08/22EFL Trophy
Match Details
23/08/22League Cup
Match Details
13/07/22Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
13/07/22Friendlies Clubs
Match Details
Highest-scoring game: 31 v 2024

Recent Form

WWonDDrawnLLost

In their last 6 matches, Peterborough have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats. Stevenage show 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 outings.

Betting Odds & Historical Data

Opening pre-match odds recorded for this fixture at the time it was played. These are historical figures for analytical reference only and do not reflect any current market.

Historical data only — not for betting

This data is sourced from football-data.co.uk and covers historical match results and pre-match odds. These figures do not represent current or live odds and cannot be used for placing bets. Betting is not possible on this website. Provided for analytical and research purposes only.

Goals in This Fixture

How many goals these two teams typically produce when they meet, based on their historical encounters.

2.1

Average goals per game

38%

Games with 3+ goals

50%

Both teams scored

Head-to-Head Record

Even record

Historical results between these two teams — showing who has dominated this fixture and whether the current odds reflect that pattern.

draws
2
8 meetings

Potential Betting Value Detected

Historical win rate (50%) differs significantly from the market-implied probability (27%) — the odds may underestimate Peterborough.

Historical results between these two teams. Bold odds show which outcome was backed by the market — compare against the actual result to assess predictability of this fixture over time.

27 Jan 202625/262.15/3.20/3.20
Match Details
25 Nov 202525/262.98/3.15/2.50
Match Details
15 Feb 202524/251.95/3.55/3.76
Match Details
5 Oct 202424/252.20/3.37/3.25
Match Details
13 Mar 202423/241.84/3.63/4.24
Match Details
28 Nov 202323/242.61/3.41/2.63
Match Details
23/11/1313/141.67/3.92/5.38
22/02/1413/143.17/3.36/2.35

Market Summary

Margin: 7.1%

Implied win probabilities calculated from pre-match odds across multiple sources. A higher percentage means the market considered that outcome more likely. Compare these against your own assessment to spot potential value.

Implied Probability

Home 33.6%Draw 31.7%Away 39.9%

Odds Range

1X2
Min2.453.052.16
Max3.503.262.85
Over 2.5: 46.5%Under 2.5: 59.9%
Market favourite: · Even contest

Market Consensus

Professional markets (sharp bookmakers) reflect sharp money and are harder to beat. Public markets are softer. When the two disagree significantly (highlighted in amber), it may indicate a mispriced line worth investigating.

1X2
Professional market27.1%29.1%43.9%
Public market37.6%30.2%32.3%
Δ10.5%1.1%11.6%

Peterborough vs Stevenage — margin-removed probabilities

Result vs. Market

Stevenage
Result vs. Market: Stevenage (40%)

Result matched market prediction

Match Statistics

Actual in-game statistics recorded for this match. Shots on target is a strong indicator of attacking pressure and correlates well with expected goals.

PeterboroughHalf-time:01Stevenage
12Shots7
2Shots on target3

Home Record / Away Record

Aggregated season statistics from all available historical data. Use these to assess each team's overall form, scoring frequency, and tendency for high-scoring matches.

Home Record: Peterborough

W 292D 140L 247
Over 2.558
Goals scored1088

Away Record: Stevenage

W 99D 75L 102
Over 2.542
Goals scored310

Data: football-data.co.uk

Statistics are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

API data: 13 May 2026